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SK Poltava - Dynamo Kyiv

Premier League May 16, 2026 12:00
SK Poltava
#16 · 12 pts
vs
Dynamo Kyiv
#4 · 51 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 20.6°C 💨 2 km/h · Kropyvnytsky
⚡ Pre-match analysis
7.12%
Win
SK Poltava
12.03%
Draw
80.85%
Win
Dynamo Kyiv
0.55
Expected xG
2.96
Model prediction
Dynamo Kyiv
80.85%
Probability
70.6%
1X2 accuracy · 34 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dynamo Kyiv a 80% win probability, against 12% for a draw and 7% for SK Poltava. Expected goals are 0.6 for SK Poltava and 3.0 for Dynamo Kyiv (total 3.5), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 13.1% probability. In 1 previous meetings, SK Poltava have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Dynamo Kyiv.

Score Matrix
↕ SK Poltava Dynamo Kyiv →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0% 8.8% 13.1% 12.9% 9.5% 5.6%
1 1.7% 4.9% 7.2% 7.1% 5.3% 3.1%
2 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 1.5% 0.9%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
4 — — 0.1% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
SK Poltava SK Poltava
L LNZ Cherkasy 2–0
L Shakhtar Donetsk 0–4
D Kryvbas KR 3–3
L Kolos Kovalivka 2–0
D Obolon'-Brovar 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 14%
Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv
W Kolos Kovalivka 2–1
D LNZ Cherkasy 0–0
L Shakhtar Donetsk 1–2
W Kryvbas KR 5–6
W Zorya Luhansk 3–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 33%
Playing profile
SK Poltava SK Poltava
Attack
19
Defence
35
Form
21
Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv
Attack
43
Defence
68
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
SK Poltava
0
Draw
0
Dynamo Kyiv
W 1 Dec 2025 Premier League 2–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 28 69
2 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 28 57
3 Polessya Polessya 28 55
4 Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv 28 51
5 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 28 47
6 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 28 47
7 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 28 46
8 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 28 42
9 Karpaty Karpaty 28 38
10 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 28 31
11 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 28 30
12 Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar 28 28
13 Kudrivka Kudrivka 28 25
14 Ruh Lviv Ruh Lviv 28 21
15 Oleksandria Oleksandria 28 13
16 SK Poltava SK Poltava 28 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SK Poltava vs Dynamo Kyiv?
The model gives SK Poltava a 7% win probability, 12% for a draw, and 80% for an Dynamo Kyiv win.
How many goals are expected in SK Poltava vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Expected goals: SK Poltava 0.6, Dynamo Kyiv 3.0 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in SK Poltava vs Dynamo Kyiv?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.1%.