Premier League
· Regular Season - 26
May 01, 2026 14:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Kryvbas KR, result Draw
I. Kotsyumaka
(ast. V. Odaryuk)
8'
D. Sukhoruchko
(ast. V. Sad)
11'
V. Sad
16'
2'
C. Paraco
7'
(ast. G. Mendoza)
A. Seck
85'
(ast. G. Mendoza)
B. Lin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Kryvbas KR a 81% win probability (draw 7%, SK Poltava 11%). The final result was SK Poltava 3–3 Kryvbas KR. In 1 previous meetings, SK Poltava have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Kryvbas KR.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
9
1.12
Actual xG
2.77
40%
Possession
60%
1
Corners
8
Match Events
2'
C. Paraco⚽
7'
ast. G. Mendoza ·
A. Seck⚽
⚽I. Kotsyumaka
· ast. V. Odaryuk
8'
⚽D. Sukhoruchko
· ast. V. Sad
11'
V. Danylenko
12'
⚽V. Sad
16'
29'
J. Jurcec
67'
G. Herbert
/
A. Seck
70'
D. Sukhoruchko
/ M. Marusych
81'
V. Sad
/ B. Kobzar
81'
85'
ast. G. Mendoza ·
B. Lin⚽
86'
V. Mulyk
/
Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych
A. Doroshenko
/ D. Plakhtyr
88'
M. Minchev
90'+1
B. Kobzar
90'+3
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
11.18%
SK
7.5%
X ←
81.32%
Kryvbas
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
7.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.59
1.12
+0.53
3.76
2.77
-0.99
Kryvbas KR dominated by xG (2.77 vs 1.12).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Mykyta Minchev
G
95
Igor Kotsyumaka
1 ⚽
D
33
O. Veremienko
D
O. Veremienko
D
5
D
12
Andriy Savenkov
D
15
V. Danylenko
M
V. Danylenko
M
21
Arsentiy Doroshenko
M
88
F
10
Valerii Sad
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
8
Volodymyr Odariuk
1 👟
M
38
F
Bench
93
Bohdan Kobzar
F
44
Dmytro Plakhtyr
M
20
Y. Misyura
D
Y. Misyura
D
12
O. Kemkin
G
O. Kemkin
G
55
Yvan Dibango
D
3
Carlos Rojas
D
4
V. Vilivald
D
2
Jan Jurčec
D
18
Bar Lin
1 ⚽
M
8
Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych
M
94
M. Zaderaka
M
M. Zaderaka
M
7
G. Mendoza
2 👟
M
G. Mendoza
2 👟
M
9
C. Paraco
1 ⚽
F
C. Paraco
1 ⚽
F
14
Assane Seck
1 ⚽
M
Bench
5
Ante Bekavac
D
15
Joseph Jones
D
21
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
M
24
Volodymyr Mulyk
F
SK Poltava — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mykyta Minchev | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Kotsyumaka | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Veremienko | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Andriy Savenkov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Danylenko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsentiy Doroshenko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Valerii Sad | F | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Volodymyr Odariuk | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Kryvbas KR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Kemkin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yvan Dibango | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Rojas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Vilivald | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Jurčec | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bar Lin | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zaderaka | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mendoza | M | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Paraco | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Assane Seck | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SK Poltava vs Kryvbas KR?
The final score was SK Poltava 3–3 Kryvbas KR.
What did the model predict before SK Poltava vs Kryvbas KR?
The model assigned 11% probability to a SK Poltava win, 7% to a draw, and 81% to an Kryvbas KR win.