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SKA Rostov - Zenit Penza

Cup July 29, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.37%
Win
SKA Rostov
30.92%
Draw
29.71%
Win
Zenit Penza
1.02
Expected xG
0.37

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (14.4%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 31%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 61%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives SKA Rostov a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Zenit Penza. Expected goals are 1.0 for SKA Rostov and 0.4 for Zenit Penza (total 1.4), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 14.4% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ SKA Rostov Zenit Penza →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 25.0% 9.1% 1.7% 0.2%
1 25.5% 9.3% 1.7% 0.2%
2 13.0% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1%
3 4.4% 1.6% 0.3%
4 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

No data available
L Volgar Astrakhan 0–1
W Strogino 1–0

Playing profile

SKA Rostov SKA Rostov
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Zenit Penza Zenit Penza
Attack
12
Defence
87
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SKA Rostov vs Zenit Penza?
The model gives SKA Rostov a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 29% for an Zenit Penza win.
How many goals are expected in SKA Rostov vs Zenit Penza?
Expected goals: SKA Rostov 1.0, Zenit Penza 0.4 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in SKA Rostov vs Zenit Penza?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.4%.