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← NM Cupen

Skeid - Valerenga

NM Cupen September 17, 2026 18:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.78%
Win
Skeid
31.94%
Draw
32.27%
Win
Valerenga
4.5
Expected xG
2.42

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.44%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
✓ 93.3% hit rate (15 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Skeid a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Valerenga. Expected goals are 4.5 for Skeid and 2.4 for Valerenga (total 6.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.44% probability.

Season Stats

Skeid
1W 0D 1L
Valerenga
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
4.0
2.0
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 2 matches in NM Cupen. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Skeid Valerenga →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
2 1.0% 2.4% 2.9% 2.4% 1.4% 0.7%
3 1.5% 3.6% 4.4% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0%
4 1.7% 4.1% 4.9% 4.0% 2.4% 1.2%
5 1.5% 3.7% 4.5% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0%

Recent form

W Nordstrand 1–4
L Asker 3–0
W Christiania BK 2–7
L Fredrikstad 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Skeid Skeid
Attack
69
Defence
65
Form
69
Valerenga Valerenga
Attack
64
Defence
39
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Skeid vs Valerenga?
The model gives Skeid a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Valerenga win.
How many goals are expected in Skeid vs Valerenga?
Expected goals: Skeid 4.5, Valerenga 2.4 (total 6.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Skeid vs Valerenga?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.44%.