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Mosta - Sliema Wanderers

Premier League September 13, 2026 20:30 Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Mosta
#2 · 10 pts
vs
Sliema Wanderers
#8 · 6 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 26.4°C 💨 5 km/h · Paola
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.97%
Win
Mosta
31.97%
Draw
31.06%
Win
Sliema Wanderers
1.24
Expected xG
0.79

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.48%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 32%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 63%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mosta a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Sliema Wanderers. Expected goals are 1.2 for Mosta and 0.8 for Sliema Wanderers (total 2.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.48% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Mosta have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Sliema Wanderers.

Season Stats

Mosta
6W 4D 5L
Sliema Wanderers
5W 6D 4L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.1
1.3
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
47%
O 2.5
33%
60%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Mosta
4W 2D 4L · at home
Sliema Wanderers
3W 5D 2L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.1
1.4
Conceded
1.1
40%
Win %
30%
60%
Win or Draw
80%
60%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
30%
20%
O 3.5
10%
50%
BTTS
70%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
40%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Mosta Sliema Wanderers →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2% 10.3% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% —
1 16.4% 12.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% —
2 10.2% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Mosta Mosta
D Marsaxlokk 1–1
W Birkirkara 1–0
W Balzan FC 2–1
W Hamrun Spartans 0–2
W Naxxar Lions 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers
W Birkirkara 2–1
W Birzebbuga 1–2
L Floriana 2–0
L Hibernians 0–2
L Tarxien Rainbows 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Mosta Mosta
Attack
26
Defence
55
Form
43
Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers
Attack
21
Defence
52
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Mosta
1
Draw
1
Sliema Wanderers
19 Apr 2026 Premier League 2–2
8 Feb 2026 Premier League 0–1
22 Aug 2025 Premier League 1–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Floriana Floriana 4 10
2 Mosta Mosta 4 10
3 Valletta FC Valletta FC 4 9
4 Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk 4 8
5 Balzan FC Balzan FC 4 7
6 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 5 7
7 Birkirkara Birkirkara 4 6
8 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 4 6
9 Hibernians Hibernians 4 4
10 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 4 4
11 Birzebbuga Birzebbuga 5 0
12 Gzira United Gzira United 4 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?
The model gives Mosta a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Sliema Wanderers win.
How many goals are expected in Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?
Expected goals: Mosta 1.2, Sliema Wanderers 0.8 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.48%.