Premier Division
· Regular Season - 28
August 21, 2026 21:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Waterford a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Sligo Rovers 18%). The final result was Sligo Rovers 0–0 Waterford. In 3 previous meetings, Sligo Rovers have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Waterford.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
0.53
Actual xG
0.96
3
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
6
11
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
O. Denham
/ A. Meekison
46'
L. Pearce
/ K. Woolery
62'
63'
B. Couto
66'
H. Cann
70'
B. McKenzie
/
H. Cann
72'
T. Lonergan
74'
D. McMenamy
/
N. Mawene
J. Shorrock
/ T. George
79'
Pre-match prediction
18.23%
Sligo
23.26%
X ←
58.51%
Waterford
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.83
0.53
-0.3
1.97
0.96
-1.01
Waterford dominated by xG (0.96 vs 0.53).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
S. Sargeant
70'
G
S. Sargeant
70'
G
3
Sean Stewart
70'
D
Sean Stewart
70'
D
52
G. McElroy
70'
D
G. McElroy
70'
D
15
O. Denham
45'
D
O. Denham
45'
D
4
S. Quirk
70'
D
S. Quirk
70'
D
16
C. McHugh
70'
M
C. McHugh
70'
M
6
L. Young
70'
M
L. Young
70'
M
7
J. Shorrock
70'
M
J. Shorrock
70'
M
9
Luke Pearce
62'
M
Luke Pearce
62'
M
19
A. Nolan
70'
M
A. Nolan
70'
M
11
C. Kavanagh
70'
F
C. Kavanagh
70'
F
Bench
10
A. Meekison
25'
F
A. Meekison
25'
F
61
Conor Cannon
D
Conor Cannon
D
14
J. McManus
M
J. McManus
M
24
J. O'Donnell
F
J. O'Donnell
F
23
K. McDonagh
M
K. McDonagh
M
41
K. Woolery
8'
F
K. Woolery
8'
F
1
Liam John Hughes
G
Liam John Hughes
G
28
R. O'Kane
F
R. O'Kane
F
20
T. George
M
T. George
M
1
S. McMullan
70'
G
S. McMullan
70'
G
13
K. Long
70'
D
K. Long
70'
D
5
J. Mahon
70'
D
J. Mahon
70'
D
16
H. Cann
70'
D
H. Cann
70'
D
3
Benny Couto
70'
M
Benny Couto
70'
M
8
E. McLaughlin
70'
M
E. McLaughlin
70'
M
7
N. Mawene
70'
M
N. Mawene
70'
M
2
J. Houston
70'
M
10
C. Noonan
70'
F
C. Noonan
70'
F
18
T. Lonergan
70'
F
T. Lonergan
70'
F
9
P. Amond
70'
F
P. Amond
70'
F
Bench
56
A. Brennan
D
A. Brennan
D
21
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
G
12
B. McKenzie
D
B. McKenzie
D
27
D. McMenamy
M
D. McMenamy
M
32
G. Amedu
D
G. Amedu
D
6
J. Ashton
D
J. Ashton
D
20
J. Voilås
F
J. Voilås
F
15
L. Heeney
M
L. Heeney
M
11
T. Coyle
F
T. Coyle
F
Best on the pitch
S. McMullan
G · Waterford
8.00
· 25 pass
S. Sargeant
G · Sligo
7.70
· 18 pass
Benny Couto
M · Waterford
7.50
· 18 pass
K. Long
D · Waterford
7.50
1 shots
· 20 pass
O. Denham
D · Sligo
7.30
· 17 pass
J. Houston
M · Waterford
7.20
· 19 pass
Sligo Rovers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sargeant | G | 70 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sean Stewart | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| G. McElroy | D | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Denham | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Quirk | D | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| C. McHugh | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Young | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Shorrock | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luke Pearce | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Nolan | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Kavanagh | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Meekison | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| K. Woolery | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. McMullan | G | 70 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | — | — |
| K. Long | D | 70 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| H. Cann | D | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Benny Couto | M | 70 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. McLaughlin | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 6 | — | — |
| N. Mawene | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Houston | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | 5 | — | — |
| C. Noonan | F | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| P. Amond | F | 70 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Waterford?
The final score was Sligo Rovers 0–0 Waterford.
What did the model predict before Sligo Rovers vs Waterford?
The model assigned 18% probability to a Sligo Rovers win, 23% to a draw, and 58% to an Waterford win.