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Slovakia - Kazakhstan

UEFA Nations League September 29, 2026 20:45 Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Shintomi
Slovakia
#2 · 0 pts
vs
Kazakhstan
#1 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
73.02%
Win
Slovakia
12.26%
Draw
14.72%
Win
Kazakhstan
3.99
Expected xG
1.83
Most likely outcome
Slovakia
73.02%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (6.06%)
1X2 Result
1 73%
X 12%
2 15%
Double Chance
1X 85%
X2 27%
12 88%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 93%
Over 2.5 86%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Slovakia a 73% win probability, against 12% for a draw and 14% for Kazakhstan. Expected goals are 4.0 for Slovakia and 1.8 for Kazakhstan (total 5.8), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 6.06% probability.

Season Stats

Slovakia
4W 2D 2L
Kazakhstan
0W 1D 5L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
0.0
0.8
Conceded
2.5
5.4
Shots OT
1.2
5.8
Corners
2.2
54%
Poss.
38%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
67%
38%
O 2.5
50%
38%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
46%
O 3.5
13%
BTTS
Slovakia
2W 2D 0L · at home
Kazakhstan
0W 0D 3L · away
1.2
gls/g
0.0
0.5
Conceded
4.0
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
50%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
100%
25%
O 3.5
67%
25%
BTTS
0%
75%
Clean Sht
0%
25%
Failed to Score
100%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Slovakia Kazakhstan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
1 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
2 2.4% 4.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 3.1% 5.7% 5.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5%
4 3.1% 5.7% 5.2% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5%
5 2.5% 4.6% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%

Recent form

Slovakia Slovakia
L Slovenia 1–0
D Slovenia 0–0
W Estonia 1–0
L Sweden 2–1
W Azerbaijan 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
L Norway 5–0
L Austria 0–2
L Slovenia 0–1
L Austria 4–0
L Slovenia 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Slovakia Slovakia
Attack
48
Defence
62
Form
40
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
Attack
32
Defence
67
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 3

# Team G Pts
1 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan 0 0
2 Slovakia Slovakia 0 0
3 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands 0 0
4 Moldova Moldova 0 0

What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League C, Group 3

Top 2 advance to the next round

Slovakia Kazakhstan
Current #2 #1
→ Slovakia #1 #2
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Kazakhstan #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
The model gives Slovakia a 73% win probability, 12% for a draw, and 14% for an Kazakhstan win.
How many goals are expected in Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
Expected goals: Slovakia 4.0, Kazakhstan 1.8 (total 5.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.06%.