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Slovan Liberec - Baník Ostrava

#5 · 23 pts
vs
#13 · 11 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 10.7°C 💨 12 km/h · Liberec
⚡ Pre-match analysis
52.27%
Win
Slovan Liberec
27.88%
Draw
19.86%
Win
Baník Ostrava
1.41
Expected xG
0.54

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (17.24%)
1X2 Result
1 52%
X 28%
2 20%
Double Chance
1X 80%
X2 48%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Slovan Liberec a 52% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Baník Ostrava. Expected goals are 1.4 for Slovan Liberec and 0.5 for Baník Ostrava (total 1.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.24% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Slovan Liberec have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Baník Ostrava.

Season Stats

Slovan Liberec
6W 2D 7L
Baník Ostrava
7W 2D 6L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.3
0.9
Conceded
1.2
4.0
Shots OT
3.9
5.4
Corners
5.5
46%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
67%
27%
O 2.5
60%
27%
BTTS
20%
33%
Clean Sht
53%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Czech Liga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Slovan Liberec
3W 3D 4L · at home
Baník Ostrava
3W 1D 6L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.4
1.0
Conceded
1.6
30%
Win %
30%
60%
Win or Draw
40%
80%
O 1.5
80%
30%
O 2.5
80%
0%
O 3.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
30%
40%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Slovan Liberec Baník Ostrava →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3% 7.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 20.0% 10.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% —
2 14.1% 7.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 6.6% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% — —
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

W Pardubice 1–2
L Sigma Olomouc 1–0
L Slovácko 0–2
D Artis 0–0
W Mlada Boleslav 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
L Plzen 0–4
D Sparta Praha 0–0
L Bohemians 1905 1–0
D Slovácko 2–2
L Pardubice 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec
Attack
37
Defence
73
Form
59
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
Attack
26
Defence
43
Form
27
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Slovan Liberec
0
Draw
0
Baník Ostrava
15 Feb 2026 Czech Liga 1–0
13 Sep 2025 Czech Liga 2–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 13 31
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 13 24
3 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 13 24
4 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 13 23
5 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 12 23
6 Teplice Teplice 13 21
7 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 13 20
8 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 13 20
9 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 13 20
10 Plzen Plzen 13 19
11 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 13 15
12 Pardubice Pardubice 13 14
13 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 12 11
14 Artis Artis 13 10
15 Karviná Karviná 0 0
15 Slovácko Slovácko 13 7
16 Zlin Zlin 13 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava?
The model gives Slovan Liberec a 52% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 19% for an Baník Ostrava win.
How many goals are expected in Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava?
Expected goals: Slovan Liberec 1.4, Baník Ostrava 0.5 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.24%.