Somalia - Ivory Coast
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 29, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.25%
Win
Somalia
31.91%
Draw
34.84%
Win
Ivory Coast
1.32
1.47
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.06%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
32%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
65%
X2
67%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ivory Coast a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Somalia. Expected goals are 1.3 for Somalia and 1.5 for Ivory Coast (total 2.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.06% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Somalia
Ivory Coast →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Playing profile
Somalia
Attack
0
Defence
100
Form
47
Ivory Coast
Attack
38
Defence
73
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Somalia vs Ivory Coast?
The model gives Somalia a 33% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 34% for an Ivory Coast win.
How many goals are expected in Somalia vs Ivory Coast?
Expected goals: Somalia 1.3, Ivory Coast 1.5 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Somalia vs Ivory Coast?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.06%.