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← NM Cupen

Sotra - Sogndal

NM Cupen September 16, 2026 18:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.35%
Win
Sotra
31.78%
Draw
31.87%
Win
Sogndal
4.5
Expected xG
1.79

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.24%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
✓ 93.3% hit rate (15 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sotra a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Sogndal. Expected goals are 4.5 for Sotra and 1.8 for Sogndal (total 6.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.24% probability.

Season Stats

Sotra
1W 1D 0L
Sogndal
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
3.5
Goals
4.0
0.5
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 2 matches in NM Cupen. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Sotra Sogndal →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.9% 3.4% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
3 2.8% 5.0% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.2% 5.7% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
5 2.9% 5.1% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%

Recent form

W Frøya 0–6
D Djerv 1–1
W Fjøra 0–8
L Bjarg 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Sotra Sotra
Attack
58
Defence
83
Form
75
Sogndal Sogndal
Attack
46
Defence
56
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sotra vs Sogndal?
The model gives Sotra a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Sogndal win.
How many goals are expected in Sotra vs Sogndal?
Expected goals: Sotra 4.5, Sogndal 1.8 (total 6.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Sotra vs Sogndal?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.24%.