South Africa - Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 26, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.88%
Win
South Africa
31.98%
Draw
32.13%
Win
Guinea
1.33
1.12
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.37%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives South Africa a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Guinea. Expected goals are 1.3 for South Africa and 1.1 for Guinea (total 2.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.37% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ South Africa
Guinea →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
South Africa
Attack
23
Defence
71
Form
44
Guinea
Attack
28
Defence
64
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win South Africa vs Guinea?
The model gives South Africa a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Guinea win.
How many goals are expected in South Africa vs Guinea?
Expected goals: South Africa 1.3, Guinea 1.1 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in South Africa vs Guinea?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.37%.