Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 1
September 26, 2026 15:00
Ime Okon
(ast. Sphephelo Sithole)
30'
Samukele Kabini
(ast. Yanela Mbuthuma)
77'
69'
Seydouba Cisse
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave South Africa a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Guinea 30%). The final result was South Africa 2–1 Guinea.
Match statistics
22
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
4
14
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Ime Okon
· ast. Sphephelo Sithole
30'
40'
Serhou Guirassy
Ime Okon
44'
45'
Ousmane Diabate
/
Lass Kourouma
Aubrey Modiba
/ Samukele Kabini
57'
63'
Ibrahim Diakite
/
ibrahima fofana breze
63'
Lamine Diaby Fadiga
/
Ilaix Moriba
Thapelo Maseko
67'
Iqraam Rayners
/ Yanela Mbuthuma
68'
69'
Seydouba Cisse⚽
75'
Aguibou Camara
/
Abdoul Karim Traoré
⚽Samukele Kabini
· ast. Yanela Mbuthuma
77'
Oswin Appollis
/ Thapelo Morena
82'
Relebohile Mofokeng
/ Bathusi Aubaas
82'
Thapelo Maseko
/ Luther Singh
82'
85'
Ousmane Camara
/
Seydouba Cisse
Pre-match prediction
37.06%
South ←
32.14%
X
30.8%
Guinea
we assigned to the actual result (South Africa)
37.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
—
—
1.20
—
—
Lineups
1
Ronwen Williams
G
Ronwen Williams
G
6
A. Modiba
57'
D
A. Modiba
57'
D
24
O. Makhanya
D
O. Makhanya
D
21
I. Okon
1 ⚽
D
I. Okon
1 ⚽
D
25
K. Sebelebele
D
K. Sebelebele
D
4
T. Mokoena
M
T. Mokoena
M
13
S. Sithole
1 👟
M
S. Sithole
1 👟
M
7
O. Appollis
82'
M
O. Appollis
82'
M
10
R. Mofokeng
82'
M
R. Mofokeng
82'
M
12
T. Maseko
82'
M
T. Maseko
82'
M
15
I. Rayners
68'
F
I. Rayners
68'
F
Bench
30
B. Aubaas
8'
M
B. Aubaas
8'
M
27
C. Mailula
F
C. Mailula
F
3
Khulumani Ndamane
D
Khulumani Ndamane
D
5
L. Seema
D
L. Seema
D
17
L. Singh
8'
F
22
Ricardo Goss
G
Ricardo Goss
G
16
Sipho Chaine
G
Sipho Chaine
G
18
S. Kabini
1 ⚽
33'
D
S. Kabini
1 ⚽
33'
D
28
Thapelo Morena
8'
D
Thapelo Morena
8'
D
2
Tholo Thabang Matuludi
D
Tholo Thabang Matuludi
D
11
T. Zwane
M
T. Zwane
M
9
Y. Mbuthuma
1 👟
22'
F
Y. Mbuthuma
1 👟
22'
F
1
S. Sylla
G
S. Sylla
G
21
S. Sylla
D
S. Sylla
D
3
A. Keita
D
A. Keita
D
4
S. Sow
D
S. Sow
D
6
I. Fofana
63'
D
I. Fofana
63'
D
7
I. Moriba
63'
M
I. Moriba
63'
M
12
L. Kourouma
46'
M
L. Kourouma
46'
M
15
S. Cissé
1 ⚽
85'
M
S. Cissé
1 ⚽
85'
M
8
A. Traoré
75'
F
A. Traoré
75'
F
9
S. Guirassy
F
S. Guirassy
F
10
A. Balde
F
A. Balde
F
Bench
18
A. Camara
15'
M
17
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
M
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
M
2
Ibrahim Diakité
27'
D
Ibrahim Diakité
27'
D
24
L. Diaby-Fadiga
27'
M
L. Diaby-Fadiga
27'
M
13
Madiou Keita
D
Madiou Keita
D
22
M. Camara
G
M. Camara
G
20
M. Konaté
M
M. Konaté
M
5
Mohamed Soumah
D
Mohamed Soumah
D
14
M. Sylla
F
M. Sylla
F
25
O. Camara
5'
F
O. Camara
5'
F
19
Ousmane Diabate
44'
M
Ousmane Diabate
44'
M
Best on the pitch
S. Sithole
M · South
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 58 pass
S. Kabini
D · South
7.57
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
S. Cissé
M · Guinea
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
I. Okon
D · South
7.34
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 50 pass
Y. Mbuthuma
F · South
7.02
1 👟
3 shots
· 8 pass
S. Sylla
G · Guinea
6.97
· 27 pass
South Africa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronwen Williams | G | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Modiba | D | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Makhanya | D | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Okon | D | 90 | 7.34 | 1 | — | 2 | 50 | 43% | 0 | 1 | — |
| K. Sebelebele | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 6 | — | — |
| T. Mokoena | M | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 4 | 54 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Sithole | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 58 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Appollis | M | 82 | 6.74 | — | — | 4 | 27 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Mofokeng | M | 82 | 6.52 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Maseko | M | 82 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 0 | 1 | — |
| I. Rayners | F | 68 | 6.08 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Aubaas | M | 8 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Singh | F | 8 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Kabini | D | 33 | 7.57 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Thapelo Morena | D | 8 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Mbuthuma | F | 22 | 7.02 | — | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Guinea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sylla | G | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Sylla | D | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Keita | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Sow | D | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Fofana | D | 63 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Moriba | M | 63 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Kourouma | M | 46 | 5.74 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Cissé | M | 85 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Traoré | F | 75 | 5.84 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Guirassy | F | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 5 | 11 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Balde | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Camara | M | 15 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Diakité | D | 27 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Diaby-Fadiga | M | 27 | 6.16 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Camara | F | 5 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Ousmane Diabate | M | 44 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of South Africa vs Guinea?
The final score was South Africa 2–1 Guinea.
What did the model predict before South Africa vs Guinea?
The model assigned 37% probability to a South Africa win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an Guinea win.