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South Korea - Ecuador

Friendlies Internazionali September 24, 2026 13:00
South Korea
vs
Ecuador
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.77%
Win
South Korea
28.53%
Draw
34.71%
Win
Ecuador
1.48
Expected xG
1.4

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.17%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 29%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 63%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives South Korea a 36% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Ecuador. Expected goals are 1.5 for South Korea and 1.4 for Ecuador (total 2.9), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.17% probability.

Season Stats

South Korea
2W 0D 2L
Ecuador
2W 2D 0L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.8
1.2
Conceded
0.8
5.0
Shots OT
4.3
6.5
Corners
4.8
60%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
BTTS
75%
50%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
South Korea
2W 0D 1L · at home
Ecuador
0W 2D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
1.3
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
0%
67%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
100%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ South Korea Ecuador →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6% 7.9% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.3% 11.7% 8.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% —
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

South Korea South Korea
W El Salvador 1–0
W Trinidad and Tobago 5–0
L Austria 1–0
L Ivory Coast 0–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Ecuador Ecuador
W Guatemala 3–0
W Saudi Arabia 2–1
D Netherlands 1–1
D Morocco 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

South Korea South Korea
Attack
48
Defence
78
Form
62
Ecuador Ecuador
Attack
47
Defence
85
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win South Korea vs Ecuador?
The model gives South Korea a 36% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 34% for an Ecuador win.
How many goals are expected in South Korea vs Ecuador?
Expected goals: South Korea 1.5, Ecuador 1.4 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in South Korea vs Ecuador?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.17%.