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South Korea - Uruguay

Friendlies Internazionali September 28, 2026 13:00
South Korea
vs
Uruguay
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.96%
Win
South Korea
31.34%
Draw
31.7%
Win
Uruguay
1.44
Expected xG
1.0

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.76%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 31%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 63%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives South Korea a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Uruguay. Expected goals are 1.4 for South Korea and 1.0 for Uruguay (total 2.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.76% probability.

Season Stats

South Korea
2W 0D 2L
Uruguay
0W 2D 0L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.5
1.2
Conceded
0.5
5.0
Shots OT
1.0
6.5
Corners
3.0
60%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
South Korea
2W 0D 1L · at home
Uruguay
0W 2D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.5
1.3
Conceded
0.5
67%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
50%
67%
O 2.5
0%
67%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
50%
33%
Failed to Score
50%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ South Korea Uruguay →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8% 8.8% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.6% 12.6% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

South Korea South Korea
W El Salvador 1–0
W Trinidad and Tobago 5–0
L Austria 1–0
L Ivory Coast 0–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Uruguay Uruguay
D Algeria 0–0
D England 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

South Korea South Korea
Attack
48
Defence
78
Form
62
Uruguay Uruguay
Attack
11
Defence
81
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Unavailable

Uruguay
G. de Arrascaeta
G. de Arrascaeta
Injured
R. Araújo
R. Araújo
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win South Korea vs Uruguay?
The model gives South Korea a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Uruguay win.
How many goals are expected in South Korea vs Uruguay?
Expected goals: South Korea 1.4, Uruguay 1.0 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in South Korea vs Uruguay?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.76%.