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South Korea - Uzbekistan

Friendlies Internazionali October 06, 2026 13:00
South Korea
vs
Uzbekistan
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.92%
Win
South Korea
25.75%
Draw
24.33%
Win
Uzbekistan
2.2
Expected xG
0.91

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.9%)
1X2 Result
1 50%
X 26%
2 24%
Double Chance
1X 76%
X2 50%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives South Korea a 49% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Uzbekistan. Expected goals are 2.2 for South Korea and 0.9 for Uzbekistan (total 3.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.9% probability.

Season Stats

South Korea
2W 0D 2L
Uzbekistan
1W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.8
1.2
Conceded
2.0
5.0
Shots OT
1.5
6.5
Corners
3.0
60%
Poss.
42%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
75%
0%
BTTS
75%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
South Korea
2W 0D 1L · at home
Uzbekistan
0W 0D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.5
1.3
Conceded
2.0
67%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
0%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
50%
67%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
50%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ South Korea Uzbekistan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 9.8% 8.9% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% —
4 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

South Korea South Korea
W El Salvador 1–0
W Trinidad and Tobago 5–0
L Austria 1–0
L Ivory Coast 0–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
L Netherlands 2–1
L Canada 2–0
W FC Urartu 4–2
D China 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

South Korea South Korea
Attack
48
Defence
78
Form
62
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
Attack
33
Defence
54
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win South Korea vs Uzbekistan?
The model gives South Korea a 49% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 24% for an Uzbekistan win.
How many goals are expected in South Korea vs Uzbekistan?
Expected goals: South Korea 2.2, Uzbekistan 0.9 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in South Korea vs Uzbekistan?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.9%.