South Korea - Venezuela
Friendlies Internazionali
October 02, 2026 13:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.11%
Win
South Korea
30.72%
Draw
31.17%
Win
Venezuela
1.7
1.09
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.22%)
1X2 Result
1
38%
X
31%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
62%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives South Korea a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Venezuela. Expected goals are 1.7 for South Korea and 1.1 for Venezuela (total 2.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.22% probability.
Season Stats
2W
0D
2L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.5
1.2
Conceded
1.0
5.0
Shots OT
2.0
6.5
Corners
2.0
60%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
2W
0D
1L
· at home
1W
0D
0L
· away
2.0
gls/g
2.0
1.3
Conceded
0.0
67%
Win %
100%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
0%
67%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
100%
33%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ South Korea
Venezuela →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
South Korea
Attack
48
Defence
78
Form
62
Venezuela
Attack
36
Defence
67
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win South Korea vs Venezuela?
The model gives South Korea a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 31% for an Venezuela win.
How many goals are expected in South Korea vs Venezuela?
Expected goals: South Korea 1.7, Venezuela 1.1 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in South Korea vs Venezuela?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.22%.