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South Shields - Harborough Town

National League North November 17, 2026 20:45
#3 · 26 pts
vs
#16 · 16 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
59.34%
Win
South Shields
21.06%
Draw
19.6%
Win
Harborough Town
2.45
Expected xG
1.02
Most likely outcome
South Shields
59.34%
Probability
61.5%
1X2 accuracy · 13 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.85%)
1X2 Result ✓ 61.5% hit rate (13 picks)
1 59%
X 21%
2 20%
Double Chance ✓ 84.6% hit rate (13 picks)
1X 80%
X2 41%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives South Shields a 59% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Harborough Town. Expected goals are 2.4 for South Shields and 1.0 for Harborough Town (total 3.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.85% probability.

Season Stats

South Shields
9W 2D 4L
Harborough Town
4W 4D 5L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.9
1.3
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
62%
47%
O 2.5
38%
47%
BTTS
46%
40%
Clean Sht
23%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League North. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
South Shields
6W 3D 1L · at home
Harborough Town
0W 2D 4L · away
1.9
gls/g
0.5
0.9
Conceded
1.5
60%
Win %
0%
90%
Win or Draw
33%
90%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
33%
30%
O 3.5
0%
70%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ South Shields Harborough Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 7.6% 7.8% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.5% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.8% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.7% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% —
5 2.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

W Spennymoor Town 0–1
W Chester 3–1
L Macclesfield 4–3
L Brackley Town 3–2
W Buxton 4–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
L Buxton 3–0
D Worksop Town 1–1
W Southport 1–0
L Macclesfield 1–0
D AFC Telford United 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

South Shields South Shields
Attack
52
Defence
55
Form
54
Harborough Town Harborough Town
Attack
16
Defence
73
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Oxford City Oxford City 13 27
2 Hereford Hereford 13 26
3 South Shields South Shields 13 26
4 Macclesfield Macclesfield 12 24
5 Chester Chester 13 23
6 Buxton Buxton 14 23
7 Bedford Town Bedford Town 13 22
8 Hednesford Town Hednesford Town 14 21
9 King's Lynn Town King's Lynn Town 14 21
10 Morecambe Morecambe 13 20
11 Chorley Chorley 13 20
12 Worksop Town Worksop Town 14 20
13 Hebburn Town Hebburn Town 13 19
14 Spalding United Spalding United 13 18
15 Marine Marine 13 16
16 Harborough Town Harborough Town 13 16
17 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 14 16
18 Brackley Town Brackley Town 14 16
19 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 13 15
20 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 14 15
21 Radcliffe Radcliffe 14 15
22 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 14 11
23 Southport Southport 13 10
24 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 13 7
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win South Shields vs Harborough Town?
The model gives South Shields a 59% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 19% for an Harborough Town win.
How many goals are expected in South Shields vs Harborough Town?
Expected goals: South Shields 2.4, Harborough Town 1.0 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in South Shields vs Harborough Town?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.85%.