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South Sudan - Angola

Africa Cup of Nations - Qual. November 15, 2026 18:00
#4 · 0 pts
vs
#2 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.28%
Win
South Sudan
32.84%
Draw
40.88%
Win
Angola
0.53
Expected xG
1.06

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (12.91%)
1X2 Result
1 26%
X 33%
2 41%
Double Chance
1X 59%
X2 74%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Angola a 40% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 26% for South Sudan. Expected goals are 0.5 for South Sudan and 1.1 for Angola (total 1.6), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 12.91% probability.

Season Stats

South Sudan
1W 0D 3L
Angola
1W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.5
2.0
Conceded
0.5
0.5
Shots OT
5.5
1.5
Corners
8.0
41%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
50%
75%
O 2.5
50%
25%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
South Sudan
0W 0D 2L · at home
Angola
0W 1D 0L · away
0.0
gls/g
0.0
3.0
Conceded
0.0
0%
Win %
0%
0%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
0%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
100%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ South Sudan Angola →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.3% 21.6% 11.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.8% 11.5% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% —
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —
4 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

L Egypt 0–5
L Malawi 2–1
L Djibouti 0–1
W Djibouti 0–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
W Malawi 3–1
D Egypt 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

South Sudan South Sudan
Attack
18
Defence
43
Form
29
Angola Angola
Attack
44
Defence
81
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Group B

# Team G Pts
1 Egypt Egypt 2 4
2 Angola Angola 2 4
3 Malawi Malawi 2 3
4 South Sudan South Sudan 2 0

What's at stake · Group B

Top 2 advance to the next round

South Sudan Angola
Current #4 #2
→ South Sudan #4 #2
→ Draw #4 #1
→ Angola #4 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win South Sudan vs Angola?
The model gives South Sudan a 26% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 40% for an Angola win.
How many goals are expected in South Sudan vs Angola?
Expected goals: South Sudan 0.5, Angola 1.1 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in South Sudan vs Angola?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.91%.