South Sudan - Egypt
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 29, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.04%
Win
South Sudan
31.49%
Draw
32.47%
Win
Egypt
1.68
1.36
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.67%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
31%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives South Sudan a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Egypt. Expected goals are 1.7 for South Sudan and 1.4 for Egypt (total 3.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.67% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ South Sudan
Egypt →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Playing profile
South Sudan
Attack
50
Defence
87
Form
58
Egypt
Attack
31
Defence
61
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win South Sudan vs Egypt?
The model gives South Sudan a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Egypt win.
How many goals are expected in South Sudan vs Egypt?
Expected goals: South Sudan 1.7, Egypt 1.4 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in South Sudan vs Egypt?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.67%.