✗Model wrong — prediction Southampton, result Draw
C. Larin
(ast. R. Manning)
29'
R. Stewart
(ast. T. Fellows)
74'
(og)
5'
R. Manning
63'
(ast. T. Horvat)
S. Bell
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 73% win probability (draw 16%, Bristol City 10%). The final result was Southampton 2–2 Bristol City. In 1 previous meetings, Southampton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bristol City.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
5
1.80
Actual xG
0.74
4
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
3
11
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
(og)
R. Manning⚽
S. Charles
28'
⚽C. Larin
· ast. R. Manning
29'
K. Matsuki
/ T. Fellows
57'
C. Archer
/ L. Scienza
57'
F. Downes
62'
63'
ast. T. Horvat ·
S. Bell⚽
F. Azaz
/ C. Jander
71'
J. Bree
/ R. Stewart
71'
72'
M. Sykes
/
S. Bell
⚽R. Stewart
· ast. T. Fellows
74'
76'
C. Pring
C. Larin
80'
81'
R. Dickie
/
T. Horvat
F. Downes
/ C. Bragg
87'
90'+1
S. Morsy
90'+8
R. Dickie
Pre-match prediction
73.07%
Southampton
16.87%
X ←
10.06%
Bristol
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
16.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.49
1.80
-0.69
0.76
0.74
-0.02
Southampton dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
G
3
R. Manning
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
R. Manning
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
15
D
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
14
James Bree
71'
D
James Bree
71'
D
24
Shea Charles
M
Shea Charles
M
4
F. Downes
87'
M
F. Downes
87'
M
10
F. Azaz
71'
M
F. Azaz
71'
M
19
Cameron Archer
57'
M
Cameron Archer
57'
M
27
K. Matsuki
57'
M
K. Matsuki
57'
M
9
Cyle Larin
1 ⚽
F
Cyle Larin
1 ⚽
F
Bench
48
Cameron Bragg
12'
M
Cameron Bragg
12'
M
20
Caspar Jander
19'
M
Caspar Jander
19'
M
13
Léo Scienza
33'
M
Léo Scienza
33'
M
11
Ross Stewart
1 ⚽
19'
F
Ross Stewart
1 ⚽
19'
F
23
Samuel Edozie
M
Samuel Edozie
M
18
T. Fellows
1 👟
33'
M
T. Fellows
1 👟
33'
M
34
Welington
D
Welington
D
23
G
3
C. Pring
D
21
D
38
N. Eile
D
2
R. McCrorie
D
40
S. Morsy
M
12
M
10
S. Twine
M
S. Twine
M
14
T. Horvat
1 👟
81'
M
T. Horvat
1 👟
81'
M
20
S. Bell
1 ⚽
72'
M
11
D. Burgzorg
F
Bench
18
E. Riis
F
E. Riis
F
17
Mark Sykes
18'
M
16
R. Dickie
9'
D
Best on the pitch
Caspar Jander
M · Southampton
7.90
· 15 pass
G · Bristol
7.90
· 51 pass
G · Southampton
7.30
· 33 pass
T. Fellows
M · Southampton
7.30
1 👟
· 7 pass
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
7.30
· 80 pass
S. Bell
M · Bristol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| R. Manning | D | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | 1 | — | 64 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 93 | 84% | — | — | — | |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 80 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| James Bree | D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Shea Charles | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Downes | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 47 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Cameron Archer | M | 57 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| K. Matsuki | M | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Cyle Larin | F | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cameron Bragg | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Caspar Jander | M | 19 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Ross Stewart | F | 19 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Fellows | M | 33 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Bristol City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 37% | — | — | — | |
| C. Pring | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — | |
| N. Eile | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| R. McCrorie | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| S. Morsy | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 58% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | 2 | — | — | |
| S. Twine | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Horvat | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 35 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Bell | M | 72 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Burgzorg | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Mark Sykes | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Dickie | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Bristol City?
The final score was Southampton 2–2 Bristol City.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Bristol City?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Southampton win, 16% to a draw, and 10% to an Bristol City win.