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Championship · Regular Season - 7 September 12, 2026 16:00
Southampton
#14 · 7 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Bristol City
#7 · 10 pts
Cyle Larin (ast. Finn Azaz) 38'
Cyle Larin 61'
Kuryu Matsuki (ast. Finn Azaz) 82'
Finn Azaz (ast. Divin Mubama) 85'
66' (ast. Rio Cardines) lorent tolaj
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Bristol City 26%). The final result was Southampton 4–1 Bristol City. In 2 previous meetings, Southampton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Bristol City.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
21
5
Shots on target
6
4
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
5
12
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Cyle Larin · ast. Finn Azaz
38'
↕ Flynn Downes / Cameron Bragg
45'
54'
Lisav Naif Eissat
58'
Jed Wallace / Yu Hirakawa ↕
58'
Sam Greenwood / Dominic Ballard ↕
⚽Cyle Larin
61'
66'
ast. Rio Cardines · lorent tolaj⚽
↕ Léo Scienza / Tom Fellows
69'
77'
Tomi Horvat / George Tanner ↕
78'
Cameron Pring / Rio Cardines ↕
↕ Cyle Larin / Divin Mubama
78'
⚽Kuryu Matsuki · ast. Finn Azaz
82'
83'
Elijah Adebayo / lorent tolaj ↕
⚽Finn Azaz · ast. Divin Mubama
85'
↕ Ryan Manning / Welington
88'
↕ Finn Azaz / Lewis Dobbin
88'
89'
Sam Greenwood
Pre-match prediction
43.1%
Southampton ←
29.94%
X
26.96%
Bristol
we assigned to the actual result (Southampton) 43.1% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Southampton
2.00
—
—
Bristol
1.02
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Southampton Southampton 4-2-3-1
1 Daniel Peretz Daniel Peretz G 7.15
3 R. Manning R. Manning 88' D 7.11
13 K. Schlotterbeck K. Schlotterbeck D 6.68
15 N. Wood-Gordon N. Wood-Gordon D 7.02
14 J. Bree J. Bree D 7.26
4 F. Downes F. Downes 45' M 7.06
30 J. Ward-Prowse J. Ward-Prowse M 6.76
7 Léo Scienza Léo Scienza 69' M 6.77
10 F. Azaz F. Azaz 1 ⚽ 2 👟 88' M 8.57
27 K. Matsuki K. Matsuki 1 ⚽ M 7.46
9 C. Larin C. Larin 2 ⚽ 78' F 8.62
Bench
26 Cameron Bragg Cameron Bragg 45' M 6.87
28 D. Mubama D. Mubama 1 👟 12' F 6.88
25 G. Long G. Long G 0.00
5 J. Stephens J. Stephens D 0.00
11 L. Dobbin L. Dobbin 2' F 6.50
23 S. Edozie S. Edozie M 0.00
18 T. Fellows T. Fellows 21' M 6.19
34 Welington Welington 2' D 6.30
6 Z. Abbott Z. Abbott D 0.00
Bristol City Bristol City 4-2-3-1
1 S. Tickle S. Tickle G 5.61
21 Rio Cardines Rio Cardines 1 👟 78' D 7.34
2 L. Eissat L. Eissat D 6.01
16 R. Dickie R. Dickie D 6.23
19 G. Tanner G. Tanner 77' D 6.25
12 J. Knight J. Knight M 6.29
8 J. Williams J. Williams M 6.70
10 S. Twine S. Twine M 6.03
23 D. Ballard D. Ballard 58' M 5.64
7 Y. Hirakawa Y. Hirakawa 58' M 6.13
9 L. Tolaj L. Tolaj 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.92
Bench
4 A. Randell A. Randell M 0.00
40 B. Collins B. Collins G 0.00
3 C. Pring C. Pring 12' D 5.70
45 E. Adebayo E. Adebayo 7' F 6.38
27 G. Yah G. Yah M 0.00
17 J. Wallace J. Wallace 32' M 5.88
38 N. Eile N. Eile D 0.00
20 S. Greenwood S. Greenwood 32' M 5.70
14 T. Horvat T. Horvat 13' M 5.80
Best on the pitch
C. Larin
C. Larin
F · Southampton
8.62
2 ⚽
3 shots · 3 pass
F. Azaz
F. Azaz
M · Southampton
8.57
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots · 32 pass
L. Tolaj
L. Tolaj
F · Bristol
7.92
1 ⚽
7 shots · 9 pass
K. Matsuki
K. Matsuki
M · Southampton
7.46
1 ⚽
2 shots · 29 pass
Rio Cardines
Rio Cardines
D · Bristol
7.34
1 👟
1 shots · 21 pass
J. Bree
J. Bree
D · Southampton
7.26
· 36 pass
Southampton Southampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Peretz G 90 7.15 — — 0 66 52% 0 — —
R. Manning D 88 7.11 — — 0 42 37% 0 — —
K. Schlotterbeck D 90 6.68 — — 0 77 69% 2 — —
N. Wood-Gordon D 90 7.02 — — 2 65 62% 2 — —
J. Bree D 90 7.26 — — 0 36 32% 2 — —
F. Downes M 45 7.06 — — 0 26 25% 1 — —
J. Ward-Prowse M 90 6.76 — — 2 66 63% 1 — —
Léo Scienza M 69 6.77 — — 0 21 19% 1 — —
F. Azaz M 88 8.57 1 2 1 32 25% 1 — —
K. Matsuki M 90 7.46 1 — 2 29 23% 2 — —
C. Larin F 78 8.62 2 — 3 3 3% 0 — —
Cameron Bragg M 45 6.87 — — 0 44 41% 0 — —
D. Mubama F 12 6.88 — 1 0 6 6% 0 — —
L. Dobbin F 2 6.50 — — 0 8 8% 0 — —
T. Fellows M 21 6.19 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
Welington D 2 6.30 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
Bristol City Bristol City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Tickle G 90 5.61 — — 0 24 17% 0 — —
Rio Cardines D 78 7.34 — 1 1 21 18% 0 — —
L. Eissat D 90 6.01 — — 1 54 50% 1 1 —
R. Dickie D 90 6.23 — — 1 53 51% 2 — —
G. Tanner D 77 6.25 — — 0 41 38% 1 — —
J. Knight M 90 6.29 — — 1 54 46% 2 — —
J. Williams M 90 6.70 — — 2 65 56% 1 — —
S. Twine M 90 6.03 — — 2 20 14% 2 — —
D. Ballard M 58 5.64 — — 4 8 6% 0 — —
Y. Hirakawa M 58 6.13 — — 1 19 17% 1 — —
L. Tolaj F 83 7.92 1 — 7 9 7% 1 — —
C. Pring D 12 5.70 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
E. Adebayo F 7 6.38 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Wallace M 32 5.88 — — 0 9 8% 1 — —
S. Greenwood M 32 5.70 — — 1 7 6% 0 1 —
T. Horvat M 13 5.80 — — 0 6 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Bristol City?
The final score was Southampton 4–1 Bristol City.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Bristol City?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Southampton win, 29% to a draw, and 26% to an Bristol City win.