Championship · Regular Season - 39 March 21, 2026 16:00 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Southampton

#6 · 20 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Oxford United

✓Model correct — prediction Southampton

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 62% win probability (draw 22%, Oxford United 15%). The final result was Southampton 2–0 Oxford United. In 1 previous meetings, Southampton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Oxford United.

Match statistics

7

Shots on target

1

2.15

Actual xG

1.07

69%

Possession

31%

6

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

62.23%

Southampton ←

22.66%

X

15.11%

Oxford

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Southampton) 62.23% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Southampton

1.97

2.15

+0.18

Oxford

1.11

1.07

-0.04

Southampton dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.07). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	25
2	Swansea	12	23
3	West Ham	12	22
4	Wolves	12	21
5	West Brom	12	21
6	Southampton	12	20
7	Birmingham	12	20
8	QPR	12	20
9	Stoke City	12	20
10	Blackburn	12	18
11	Portsmouth	12	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	16
13	Millwall	12	15
14	Bristol City	12	15
15	Lincoln	12	15
16	Cardiff	12	14
17	Wrexham	12	14
18	Bolton	12	14
19	Charlton	12	14
20	Norwich	12	12
21	Watford	12	11
22	Burnley	12	8
23	Derby	12	7
24	Preston	12	5