Skip to main content
← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 9 October 11, 2026 13:00 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Southampton
#6 · 20 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Portsmouth
#11 · 18 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Southampton
James Bree (ast. Finn Azaz) 20'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 50% win probability (draw 26%, Portsmouth 23%). The final result was Southampton 1–0 Portsmouth. In 2 previous meetings, Southampton have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
2
1.35
Actual xG
0.79
2
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
4
12
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽James Bree · ast. Finn Azaz
20'
Cameron Bragg
32'
34'
Ebou Adams
Cameron Bragg
44'
45'
Adrian Segecic / Ryan Kavuma-McQueen ↕
Cyle Larin
51'
Finn Azaz
53'
53'
Jayden Meghoma
↕ Léo Scienza / Kuryu Matsuki
57'
65'
Odin Bailey / Ebou Adams ↕
65'
Terry Devlin / Jayden Meghoma ↕
65'
Marko Milovanović / Colby·Bishop ↕
69'
Terry Devlin
↕ Cyle Larin / Caspar Jander
72'
77'
Keshi Anderson / Zak Swanson ↕
Keven Schlotterbeck
82'
Pre-match prediction
50.04%
Southampton ←
26.41%
X
23.55%
Portsmouth
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Southampton) 50.04% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Southampton
2.27
1.35
-0.92
Portsmouth
0.89
0.79
-0.1
Southampton dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.79). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Southampton Southampton 4-2-3-1
1 Daniel Peretz Daniel Peretz G 7.15
3 R. Manning R. Manning D 7.92
13 K. Schlotterbeck K. Schlotterbeck D 7.09
5 J. Stephens J. Stephens D 7.44
14 J. Bree J. Bree 1 ⚽ D 8.08
30 J. Ward-Prowse J. Ward-Prowse M 6.81
4 F. Downes F. Downes M 6.58
7 Léo Scienza Léo Scienza 57' M 6.81
10 F. Azaz F. Azaz 1 👟 M 6.97
26 Cameron Bragg Cameron Bragg 44' M 6.45
9 C. Larin C. Larin 72' F 6.10
Bench
8 C. Jander C. Jander 18' M 6.94
28 D. Mubama D. Mubama F 0.00
25 G. Long G. Long G 0.00
27 K. Matsuki K. Matsuki 33' M 6.36
11 L. Dobbin L. Dobbin F 0.00
15 N. Wood-Gordon N. Wood-Gordon D 0.00
23 S. Edozie S. Edozie M 0.00
18 T. Fellows T. Fellows M 0.00
34 Welington Welington D 0.00
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1 N. Schmid N. Schmid G 6.59
16 J. Meghoma J. Meghoma 65' D 6.72
55 M. Dia M. Dia D 6.59
5 R. Poole R. Poole D 6.78
22 Z. Swanson Z. Swanson 77' D 5.89
38 E. Adams E. Adams 65' M 6.54
7 M. Pack M. Pack M 6.42
17 T. Shade T. Shade M 6.21
11 A. Kamara A. Kamara M 6.28
25 R. Kavuma McQueen R. Kavuma McQueen 45' M 6.39
9 C. Bishop C. Bishop 65' F 6.25
Bench
10 A. Segecic A. Segecic 45' M 6.45
31 D. Bielica D. Bielica G 0.00
32 E. Kenny E. Kenny M 0.00
37 I. Mohamed I. Mohamed M 0.00
21 K. Anderson K. Anderson 13' M 6.07
29 M. Milovanović M. Milovanović 25' F 6.59
27 O. Bailey O. Bailey 25' M 6.35
19 R. Shein R. Shein M 0.00
24 T. Devlin T. Devlin 25' M 5.99
Best on the pitch
J. Bree
J. Bree
D · Southampton
8.08
1 ⚽
2 shots · 32 pass
R. Manning
R. Manning
D · Southampton
7.92
· 41 pass
J. Stephens
J. Stephens
D · Southampton
7.44
· 46 pass
Daniel Peretz
Daniel Peretz
G · Southampton
7.15
· 49 pass
K. Schlotterbeck
K. Schlotterbeck
D · Southampton
7.09
2 shots · 65 pass
F. Azaz
F. Azaz
M · Southampton
6.97
1 👟
1 shots · 32 pass
Southampton Southampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Peretz G 90 7.15 — — 0 49 29% 0 — —
R. Manning D 90 7.92 — — 0 41 33% 0 — —
K. Schlotterbeck D 90 7.09 — — 2 65 59% 1 1 —
J. Stephens D 90 7.44 — — 0 46 42% 1 — —
J. Bree D 90 8.08 1 — 2 32 23% 3 — —
J. Ward-Prowse M 90 6.81 — — 0 37 31% 0 — —
F. Downes M 90 6.58 — — 0 33 27% 3 — —
Léo Scienza M 57 6.81 — — 1 11 11% 1 — —
F. Azaz M 90 6.97 — 1 1 32 25% 1 1 —
Cameron Bragg M 44 6.45 — — 0 37 36% 0 — 1
C. Larin F 72 6.10 — — 1 6 6% 0 1 —
C. Jander M 18 6.94 — — 0 5 3% 2 — —
K. Matsuki M 33 6.36 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Schmid G 90 6.59 — — 0 29 25% 0 — —
J. Meghoma D 65 6.72 — — 3 25 22% 1 1 —
M. Dia D 90 6.59 — — 0 45 41% 1 — —
R. Poole D 90 6.78 — — 0 49 44% 1 — —
Z. Swanson D 77 5.89 — — 1 33 22% 1 — —
E. Adams M 65 6.54 — — 0 26 23% 4 1 —
M. Pack M 90 6.42 — — 0 60 50% 1 — —
T. Shade M 90 6.21 — — 1 26 21% 0 — —
A. Kamara M 90 6.28 — — 3 18 11% 0 — —
R. Kavuma McQueen M 45 6.39 — — 2 5 3% 1 — —
C. Bishop F 65 6.25 — — 1 5 1% 0 — —
A. Segecic M 45 6.45 — — 2 6 5% 1 — —
K. Anderson M 13 6.07 — — 0 11 8% 0 — —
M. Milovanović F 25 6.59 — — 1 6 3% 0 — —
O. Bailey M 25 6.35 — — 1 13 13% 0 — —
T. Devlin M 25 5.99 — — 0 14 10% 0 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Southampton 1–0 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Southampton win, 26% to a draw, and 23% to an Portsmouth win.