Southampton - West Ham
EFL Cup
August 25, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.59%
Win
Southampton
30.74%
Draw
32.66%
Win
West Ham
1.56
1.29
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.68%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
31%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
63%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Southampton a 36% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 32% for West Ham. Expected goals are 1.6 for Southampton and 1.3 for West Ham (total 2.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.68% probability.
Season Stats
3W
0D
1L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.5
0.5
Conceded
2.0
4.0
Shots OT
6.0
6.0
Corners
1.5
55%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
25%
BTTS
100%
75%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Southampton
West Ham →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Southampton
Attack
47
Defence
72
Form
71
West Ham
Attack
46
Defence
76
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Southampton vs West Ham?
The model gives Southampton a 36% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 32% for an West Ham win.
How many goals are expected in Southampton vs West Ham?
Expected goals: Southampton 1.6, West Ham 1.3 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Southampton vs West Ham?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.68%.