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Southend - Aveley

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 16:00
Southend
vs
Aveley
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.9%
Win
Southend
29.03%
Draw
40.07%
Win
Aveley
1.38
Expected xG
2.57

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (8.34%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 29%
2 40%
Double Chance
1X 60%
X2 69%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Aveley a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Southend. Expected goals are 1.4 for Southend and 2.6 for Aveley (total 3.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.34% probability.

Season Stats

Southend
0W 2D 2L
Aveley
4W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
3.0
1.8
Conceded
2.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
63%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Southend
0W 2D 2L · at home
Aveley
2W 0D 0L · away
1.0
gls/g
4.5
1.8
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
100%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
25%
O 3.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Southend Aveley →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9% 5.0% 6.4% 5.5% 3.5% 1.8%
1 2.7% 6.8% 8.8% 7.5% 4.8% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.7% 6.0% 5.2% 3.3% 1.7%
3 0.8% 2.2% 2.8% 2.4% 1.5% 0.8%
4 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

Southend Southend
D Leyton Orient 1–1
L Northampton 1–3
D West Ham 1–1
L Cambridge United 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Aveley Aveley
W Canvey Island 1–4
W Brightlingsea Regent 1–5
W Braintree 3–2
L Ebbsfleet United 1–4
L Leiston 2–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Southend Southend
Attack
25
Defence
56
Form
40
Aveley Aveley
Attack
72
Defence
43
Form
70
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Southend vs Aveley?
The model gives Southend a 30% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 40% for an Aveley win.
How many goals are expected in Southend vs Aveley?
Expected goals: Southend 1.4, Aveley 2.6 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Southend vs Aveley?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.34%.