Skip to main content
← World Cup
World Cup · Round of 32 July 02, 2026 21:00
Spain
#1 · 7 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Austria
#2 · 4 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Spain
M. Oyarzabal (ast. M. Cucurella) 36'
P. Porro (ast. A. Baena) 66'
M. Oyarzabal (ast. M. Cucurella) 89'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spain a 68% win probability (draw 20%, Austria 10%). The final result was Spain 3–0 Austria.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
0
2.80
Actual xG
0.49
0
Saves
6
65%
Possession
35%
9
Corners
0
19
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Oyarzabal · ast. M. Cucurella
36'
46'
C. Chukwuemeka / N. Seiwald ↕
46'
F. Grillitsch / X. Schlager ↕
60'
M. Arnautovic / M. Gregoritsch ↕
60'
S. Kalajdzic / R. Schmid ↕
⚽P. Porro · ast. A. Baena
66'
↕ A. Baena / F. Torres
71'
↕ D. Olmo / M. Merino
71'
83'
S. Posch
↕ Lamine Yamal / Gavi
85'
85'
A. Prass / S. Posch ↕
⚽M. Oyarzabal · ast. M. Cucurella
89'
↕ Pedri / F. Ruiz
90'+3
↕ A. Laporte / M. Pubill
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
68.75%
Spain ←
20.8%
X
10.45%
Austria
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Spain) 68.75% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Spain
2.32
2.80
+0.47
Austria
0.75
0.49
-0.26
Spain dominated by xG (2.80 vs 0.49). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
Spain Spain 4-2-3-1
23 Unai Simón Unai Simón G 6.90
24 Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella 2 👟 D 8.00
14 Aymeric Laporte Aymeric Laporte D 7.70
22 Pau Cubarsí Paredes Pau Cubarsí Paredes D 7.60
12 Pedro Porro Pedro Porro 1 ⚽ D 8.20
20 Pedri Pedri M 7.20
16 Rodri Rodri M 7.50
15 Álex Baena Álex Baena 1 👟 71' M 8.20
10 Dani Olmo Dani Olmo 71' M 7.00
19 Lamine Yamal Lamine Yamal 85' M 7.50
21 Mikel Oyarzabal Mikel Oyarzabal 2 ⚽ F 9.30
Bench
3 Álex Grimaldo Álex Grimaldo D
26 Borja Iglesias Borja Iglesias F
1 David Raya David Raya G
4 Eric García Eric García D
8 Fabián Ruiz Fabián Ruiz 1' M
7 Ferran Torres Ferran Torres 23' F 6.20
9 Gavi Gavi 9' M 6.30
13 Joan García Joan García G
5 Marcos Llorente Marcos Llorente M
2 Marc Pubill Marc Pubill 1' D
18 Martín Zubimendi Martín Zubimendi M
6 Mikel Merino Mikel Merino 23' M 6.70
17 Nico Williams Nico Williams F
25 Víctor Muñoz Víctor Muñoz F
11 Yeremy Pino Yeremy Pino M
Austria Austria 4-2-3-1
1 Alexander Schlager Alexander Schlager G 7.20
20 K. Laimer K. Laimer D 6.30
8 David Alaba David Alaba D 6.70
3 Kevin Danso Kevin Danso D 6.90
5 S. Posch S. Posch 85' D 5.90
4 Xaver Schlager Xaver Schlager 45' M 6.00
6 Nicolas Seiwald Nicolas Seiwald 45' M 6.30
9 M. Sabitzer M. Sabitzer M 6.90
24 P. Wanner P. Wanner M 6.20
18 Romano Schmid Romano Schmid 60' M 6.70
11 Michael Gregoritsch Michael Gregoritsch 60' F 6.20
Bench
26 Alessandro Schöpf Alessandro Schöpf M
22 Alexander Prass Alexander Prass 9' D 6.30
17 Carney Chukwuemeka Carney Chukwuemeka 49' M 6.30
2 David Affengruber David Affengruber D
19 Dejan Ljubičić Dejan Ljubičić M
10 Florian Grillitsch Florian Grillitsch 49' M 6.90
12 Florian Wiegele Florian Wiegele G
23 Marco Friedl Marco Friedl D
7 Marko Arnautović Marko Arnautović 34' F 6.30
25 Michael Svoboda Michael Svoboda D
13 Patrick Pentz Patrick Pentz G
21 Patrick Wimmer Patrick Wimmer M
15 Philipp Lienhart Philipp Lienhart D
16 Phillipp Mwene Phillipp Mwene D
14 Saša Kalajdžić Saša Kalajdžić 34' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Mikel Oyarzabal
Mikel Oyarzabal
F · Spain
9.30
2 ⚽
5 shots · 26 pass
Pedro Porro
Pedro Porro
D · Spain
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 54 pass
Álex Baena
Álex Baena
M · Spain
8.20
1 👟
1 shots · 40 pass
Marc Cucurella
Marc Cucurella
D · Spain
8.00
2 👟
· 52 pass
Aymeric Laporte
Aymeric Laporte
D · Spain
7.70
2 shots · 87 pass
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D · Spain
7.60
· 74 pass
Spain Spain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Unai Simón G 94 6.90 — — — 31 30% — — —
Marc Cucurella D 94 8.00 — 2 — 52 47% — — —
Aymeric Laporte D 93 7.70 — — 2 87 79% 3 — —
Pau Cubarsí Paredes D 94 7.60 — — — 74 69% 2 — —
Pedro Porro D 94 8.20 1 — 1 54 48% 1 — —
Pedri M 93 7.20 — — — 73 65% 3 — —
Rodri M 94 7.50 — — — 92 84% 5 — —
Álex Baena M 71 8.20 — 1 1 40 35% — — —
Dani Olmo M 71 7.00 — — — 26 25% 4 — —
Lamine Yamal M 85 7.50 — — 5 31 28% — — —
Mikel Oyarzabal F 94 9.30 2 — 5 26 21% 1 — —
Fabián Ruiz M 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Ferran Torres F 23 6.20 — — 1 8 6% — — —
Gavi M 9 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Marc Pubill D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Mikel Merino M 23 6.70 — — — 15 14% — — —
Austria Austria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alexander Schlager G 94 7.20 — — — 36 33% — — —
K. Laimer D 94 6.30 — — — 32 28% 5 — —
David Alaba D 94 6.70 — — 1 61 50% — — —
Kevin Danso D 94 6.90 — — — 40 34% 1 — —
S. Posch D 85 5.90 — — 1 21 14% 3 1 —
Xaver Schlager M 45 6.00 — — — 12 8% — — —
Nicolas Seiwald M 45 6.30 — — — 18 17% 1 — —
M. Sabitzer M 94 6.90 — — — 18 13% 1 — —
P. Wanner M 94 6.20 — — — 20 17% 1 — —
Romano Schmid M 60 6.70 — — — 20 15% 1 — —
Michael Gregoritsch F 60 6.20 — — — 6 2% — — —
Alexander Prass D 9 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Carney Chukwuemeka M 49 6.30 — — 1 13 11% — — —
Florian Grillitsch M 49 6.90 — — — 22 19% 2 — —
Marko Arnautović F 34 6.30 — — — 6 6% — — —
Saša Kalajdžić F 34 6.30 — — 1 6 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Spain vs Austria?
The final score was Spain 3–0 Austria.
What did the model predict before Spain vs Austria?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Spain win, 20% to a draw, and 10% to an Austria win.