The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spain a 47% win probability (draw 25%, Cape Verde Islands 26%). The final result was Spain 0–0 Cape Verde Islands.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
1
2.16
Actual xG
0.28
1
Saves
7
74%
Possession
26%
10
Corners
1
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
16'
S. Lopes Cabral
61'
W. Semedo
/
J. Cabral
61'
N. Da Costa
/
D. Livramento
61'
D. Duarte
/
L. Duarte
F. Ruiz
/ M. Merino
71'
Gavi
/ Lamine Yamal
71'
76'
Joao Paulo
/
S. Lopes Cabral
79'
T. Arcanjo
/
J. Monteiro
F. Torres
/ D. Olmo
81'
Rodri
/ N. Williams
87'
Pedri
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
47.68%
Spain
25.41%
X ←
26.9%
Cape
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.44
2.16
-0.28
1.62
0.28
-1.34
Spain dominated by xG (2.16 vs 0.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Unai Simón
G
Unai Simón
G
24
Marc Cucurella
D
Marc Cucurella
D
14
Aymeric Laporte
D
Aymeric Laporte
D
22
Pau Cubarsí
D
Pau Cubarsí
D
5
Marcos Llorente
D
Marcos Llorente
D
20
Pedri
M
Pedri
M
16
Rodri
87'
M
Rodri
87'
M
8
Fabián Ruiz
71'
M
Fabián Ruiz
71'
M
9
Pablo Gavi
71'
F
Pablo Gavi
71'
F
21
Mikel Oyarzabal
F
Mikel Oyarzabal
F
7
Ferran Torres
81'
F
Ferran Torres
81'
F
Bench
15
Álex Baena
M
Álex Baena
M
3
Álex Grimaldo
D
Álex Grimaldo
D
26
Borja Iglesias
F
Borja Iglesias
F
10
Dani Olmo
13'
M
Dani Olmo
13'
M
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
4
Eric García
D
Eric García
D
13
Joan García
G
Joan García
G
19
Lamine Yamal
23'
F
Lamine Yamal
23'
F
2
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
18
Martín Zubimendi
M
Martín Zubimendi
M
6
Mikel Merino
23'
M
Mikel Merino
23'
M
17
Nico Williams
7'
F
Nico Williams
7'
F
12
Pedro Porro
D
Pedro Porro
D
25
Víctor Muñoz
F
Víctor Muñoz
F
11
Yéremy Pino
M
Yéremy Pino
M
1
Vozinha
G
Vozinha
G
13
S. Lopes Cabral
76'
D
S. Lopes Cabral
76'
D
3
Diney Borges
D
Diney Borges
D
4
Pico
D
Pico
D
22
Steven Moreira
D
Steven Moreira
D
6
Kevin Lenini
M
Kevin Lenini
M
7
Jovane Cabral
61'
M
Jovane Cabral
61'
M
10
Jamiro Monteiro
79'
M
Jamiro Monteiro
79'
M
15
Laros Duarte
61'
M
Laros Duarte
61'
M
20
Ryan Mendes
M
Ryan Mendes
M
19
Dailon Rocha Livramento
61'
F
Dailon Rocha Livramento
61'
F
Bench
23
CJ Dos Santos
G
CJ Dos Santos
G
14
Deroy Duarte
33'
M
Deroy Duarte
33'
M
11
Garry Rodrigues
F
Garry Rodrigues
F
9
Gilson Benchimol
F
Gilson Benchimol
F
26
Hélio Varela
F
Hélio Varela
F
8
João Paulo
18'
M
João Paulo
18'
M
25
Kelvin Pires
D
Kelvin Pires
D
5
Logan Costa
D
Logan Costa
D
12
Márcio Rosa
G
Márcio Rosa
G
21
Nuno Da Costa
33'
F
Nuno Da Costa
33'
F
2
Stopira
D
Stopira
D
18
Telmo Arcanjo
15'
M
Telmo Arcanjo
15'
M
24
Wagner Pina
D
Wagner Pina
D
17
Willy Semedo
33'
F
Willy Semedo
33'
F
16
Yannick Semedo
M
Yannick Semedo
M
Best on the pitch
Vozinha
G · Cape
9.20
· 42 pass
Pedri
M · Spain
8.90
1 shots
· 96 pass
Rodri
M · Spain
8.30
1 shots
· 127 pass
Diney Borges
D · Cape
8.20
1 shots
· 41 pass
Aymeric Laporte
D · Spain
8.00
2 shots
· 109 pass
Pau Cubarsí
D · Spain
7.70
· 109 pass
Spain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 109 | 105% | — | — | — |
| Pau Cubarsí | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 109 | 107% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 83 | 76% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedri | M | 94 | 8.90 | — | — | 1 | 96 | 84% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rodri | M | 87 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 127 | 116% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 5 | 75 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Gavi | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | F | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 81 | 5.60 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Dani Olmo | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Lamine Yamal | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Mikel Merino | M | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Nico Williams | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Cape Verde Islands — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vozinha | G | 94 | 9.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 29% | — | — | — |
| S. Lopes Cabral | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Diney Borges | D | 94 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 5 | — | — |
| Pico | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Lenini | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Jovane Cabral | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Laros Duarte | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Mendes | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Dailon Rocha Livramento | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Deroy Duarte | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| João Paulo | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Nuno Da Costa | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Telmo Arcanjo | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Willy Semedo | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?
The final score was Spain 0–0 Cape Verde Islands.
What did the model predict before Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Spain win, 25% to a draw, and 26% to an Cape Verde Islands win.