✓Model correct — prediction Spain
Lamine Yamal
(ast. Alejandro Baena Rodríguez)
2'
Marc Pubill
(ast. Lamine Yamal)
31'
Lamine Yamal
(ast. Pedri)
63'
Nico Williams
(ast. Mikel Merino)
89'
28'
(ast. Ivan Perišić)
Dion Drena Beljo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spain a 75% win probability (draw 17%, Croatia 6%). The final result was Spain 4–1 Croatia. In 2 previous meetings, Spain have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Croatia.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
6
Corners
2
15
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Lamine Yamal
· ast. Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
2'
18'
Marin Pongračić
28'
ast. Ivan Perišić ·
Dion Drena Beljo⚽
⚽Marc Pubill
· ast. Lamine Yamal
31'
37'
Petar Sučić
45'
Luka Vuskovic
/
Marin Pongračić
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
49'
54'
Marco Pašalić
Fermín López
/ Mikel Merino
57'
Fabián Ruiz
/ Pedri
57'
58'
Josip Mišić
60'
Ante Budimir
/
Dion Drena Beljo
60'
Mario Pašalić
/
Mateo Kovačić
⚽Lamine Yamal
· ast. Pedri
63'
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
/ Nico Williams
68'
Lamine Yamal
/ Víctor Muñoz
68'
72'
Franjo Ivanovic
/
Ivan Perišić
Martín Zubimendi
/ Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante
72'
81'
Luka Modrić
/
Petar Sučić
⚽Nico Williams
· ast. Mikel Merino
89'
Pre-match prediction
75.69%
Spain ←
17.57%
X
6.75%
Croatia
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Spain)
75.69%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.41
—
—
0.59
—
—
Lineups
23
Unai Simón
G
Unai Simón
G
22
Marc Cucurella
D
Marc Cucurella
D
2
D. Huijsen
D
D. Huijsen
D
5
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
12
Marc Pubill
1 ⚽
D
Marc Pubill
1 ⚽
D
8
Fabián Ruiz
57'
M
Fabián Ruiz
57'
M
18
Martín Zubimendi
72'
M
Martín Zubimendi
72'
M
9
Fermín
57'
M
Fermín
57'
M
15
Álex Baena
1 👟
68'
F
Álex Baena
1 👟
68'
F
21
Mikel Oyarzabal
F
Mikel Oyarzabal
F
19
Lamine Yamal
2 ⚽
1 👟
68'
F
Lamine Yamal
2 ⚽
1 👟
68'
F
Bench
3
Álex Grimaldo
D
Álex Grimaldo
D
14
Aymeric Laporte
D
Aymeric Laporte
D
10
Dani Olmo
M
Dani Olmo
M
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
7
Ferran Torres
F
Ferran Torres
F
4
Iván Fresneda
D
Iván Fresneda
D
13
Josep Martínez
G
Josep Martínez
G
6
Mikel Merino
1 👟
33'
M
Mikel Merino
1 👟
33'
M
17
Nico Williams
1 ⚽
22'
F
Nico Williams
1 ⚽
22'
F
20
Pedri
1 👟
33'
M
Pedri
1 👟
33'
M
16
Rodri
18'
M
Rodri
18'
M
11
Víctor Muñoz
22'
F
Víctor Muñoz
22'
F
1
D. Livaković
G
D. Livaković
G
4
J. Gvardiol
D
J. Gvardiol
D
3
M. Pongračić
45'
D
M. Pongračić
45'
D
6
J. Šutalo
D
J. Šutalo
D
2
I. Smolčić
D
I. Smolčić
D
8
M. Kovačić
60'
M
M. Kovačić
60'
M
22
J. Mišić
M
J. Mišić
M
14
I. Perišić
1 👟
72'
M
I. Perišić
1 👟
72'
M
17
P. Sučić
81'
M
P. Sučić
81'
M
19
Marco Pasalic
M
Marco Pasalic
M
20
D. Beljo
1 ⚽
60'
F
D. Beljo
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
11
A. Budimir
30'
F
A. Budimir
30'
F
9
A. Kramarić
F
A. Kramarić
F
23
D. Kotarski
G
D. Kotarski
G
7
F. Ivanović
18'
F
F. Ivanović
18'
F
12
I. Pandur
G
I. Pandur
G
18
K. Jakić
M
K. Jakić
M
10
L. Modrić
9'
M
L. Modrić
9'
M
21
L. Sučić
M
L. Sučić
M
5
L. Vušković
45'
D
L. Vušković
45'
D
15
Mario Pasalic
30'
M
Mario Pasalic
30'
M
16
M. Baturina
M
M. Baturina
M
13
N. Vlašić
M
N. Vlašić
M
Best on the pitch
Lamine Yamal
F · Spain
9.40
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 37 pass
Marc Pubill
D · Spain
7.74
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 54 pass
Nico Williams
F · Spain
7.61
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
D. Beljo
F · Croatia
7.51
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
Fabián Ruiz
M · Spain
7.30
· 44 pass
Unai Simón
G · Spain
7.24
· 23 pass
Spain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | G | 90 | 7.24 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Huijsen | D | 90 | 7.13 | — | — | 0 | 98 | 93% | 0 | — | — |
| Pau Cubarsí Paredes | D | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 87 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 90 | 7.74 | 1 | — | 1 | 54 | 51% | 4 | — | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 57 | 7.30 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 72 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Fermín | M | 57 | 6.98 | — | — | 4 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | F | 68 | 6.94 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | F | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Lamine Yamal | F | 68 | 9.40 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Mikel Merino | M | 33 | 6.51 | — | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Nico Williams | F | 22 | 7.61 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedri | M | 33 | 7.01 | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| Rodri | M | 18 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Víctor Muñoz | F | 22 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Croatia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Livaković | G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Gvardiol | D | 90 | 5.47 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Pongračić | D | 45 | 5.37 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Šutalo | D | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Smolčić | D | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Kovačić | M | 60 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mišić | M | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 38% | 3 | 1 | — |
| I. Perišić | M | 72 | 6.89 | — | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Sučić | M | 81 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Marco Pasalic | M | 90 | 5.62 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Beljo | F | 60 | 7.51 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Budimir | F | 30 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ivanović | F | 18 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Modrić | M | 9 | 5.67 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Vušković | D | 45 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Mario Pasalic | M | 30 | 5.82 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Spain vs Croatia?
The final score was Spain 4–1 Croatia.
What did the model predict before Spain vs Croatia?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Spain win, 17% to a draw, and 6% to an Croatia win.