Spain - Czechia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
87.73%
Win
Spain
6.98%
Draw
5.29%
Win
Czechia
4.5
1.14
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Spain
87.73%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
4–1
(7.58%)
1X2 Result
1
88%
X
7%
2
5%
Double Chance
1X
95%
X2
12%
12
93%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
85%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Spain a 87% win probability, against 6% for a draw and 5% for Czechia. Expected goals are 4.5 for Spain and 1.1 for Czechia (total 5.6), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 4–1 at 7.58% probability.
Season Stats
6W
4D
0L
3W
2D
1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.5
1.5
Conceded
1.3
7.2
Shots OT
5.0
5.2
Corners
4.8
57%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
83%
80%
O 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
67%
30%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
47%
O 3.5
64%
BTTS
4W
1D
0L
· at home
0W
2D
1L
· away
3.0
gls/g
0.7
1.8
Conceded
1.7
80%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
80%
O 1.5
67%
80%
O 2.5
33%
60%
O 3.5
33%
60%
BTTS
67%
40%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Spain
Czechia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Spain
Attack
56
Defence
91
Form
80
Czechia
Attack
39
Defence
60
Form
17
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Czechia
Injured
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 3
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 3
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #4 |
| → Spain | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Czechia | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Spain vs Czechia?
The model gives Spain a 87% win probability, 6% for a draw, and 5% for an Czechia win.
How many goals are expected in Spain vs Czechia?
Expected goals: Spain 4.5, Czechia 1.1 (total 5.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in Spain vs Czechia?
4–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.58%.