✓Model correct — prediction Spain
Lamine Yamal
(ast. M. Oyarzabal)
10'
M. Oyarzabal
(ast. A. Laporte)
21'
M. Oyarzabal
(ast. D. Olmo)
24'
H. Tambakti
49'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spain a 82% win probability (draw 11%, Saudi Arabia 5%). The final result was Spain 4–0 Saudi Arabia.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
2
8
Shots on target
1
2.85
Actual xG
0.14
1
Saves
5
67%
Possession
33%
6
Corners
1
9
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Lamine Yamal
· ast. M. Oyarzabal
10'
⚽M. Oyarzabal
· ast. A. Laporte
21'
⚽M. Oyarzabal
· ast. D. Olmo
24'
30'
S. Al Dawsari
Lamine Yamal
/ Y. Pino
46'
M. Oyarzabal
/ F. Torres
46'
46'
M. Kanno
/
A. Al Khaibari
46'
A. Al Hamdan
/
M. Al Juwayr
⚽H. Tambakti
(og)
49'
60'
A. Hejji
/
A. Al Amri
60'
M. Kanno
60'
M. Abu Al Shamat
/
F. Al Buraikan
A. Baena
/ N. Williams
61'
D. Olmo
/ M. Merino
61'
Pedri
/ F. Ruiz
70'
90'+2
90'
K. Al Ghannam
/
N. Al Dawsari
Pre-match prediction
82.64%
Spain ←
11.59%
X
5.76%
Saudi
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Spain)
82.64%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.75
2.85
+0.1
0.54
0.14
-0.4
Spain dominated by xG (2.85 vs 0.14).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
23
Unai Simón
G
Unai Simón
G
24
Marc Cucurella
D
Marc Cucurella
D
14
Aymeric Laporte
1 👟
D
Aymeric Laporte
1 👟
D
22
Pau Cubarsí
D
Pau Cubarsí
D
12
Pedro Porro
D
Pedro Porro
D
20
Pedri
70'
M
Pedri
70'
M
16
Rodri
M
Rodri
M
10
Dani Olmo
1 👟
61'
M
Dani Olmo
1 👟
61'
M
15
Álex Baena
61'
F
Álex Baena
61'
F
21
Mikel Oyarzabal
2 ⚽
1 👟
45'
F
Mikel Oyarzabal
2 ⚽
1 👟
45'
F
19
Lamine Yamal
1 ⚽
45'
F
Lamine Yamal
1 ⚽
45'
F
Bench
3
Álex Grimaldo
D
Álex Grimaldo
D
26
Borja Iglesias
F
Borja Iglesias
F
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
4
Eric García
D
Eric García
D
8
Fabián Ruiz
20'
M
Fabián Ruiz
20'
M
7
Ferran Torres
45'
F
Ferran Torres
45'
F
13
Joan García
G
Joan García
G
5
Marcos Llorente
M
Marcos Llorente
M
2
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
18
Martín Zubimendi
M
Martín Zubimendi
M
6
Mikel Merino
29'
M
Mikel Merino
29'
M
17
Nico Williams
29'
F
Nico Williams
29'
F
9
Pablo Gavi
M
Pablo Gavi
M
25
Víctor Muñoz
F
Víctor Muñoz
F
11
Yéremy Pino
45'
M
Yéremy Pino
45'
M
21
Mohammed Al-Owais
G
Mohammed Al-Owais
G
24
Moteb Al Harbi
D
Moteb Al Harbi
D
5
Hassan Tambakti
1 ⚽
D
Hassan Tambakti
1 ⚽
D
3
Ali Lajami
D
Ali Lajami
D
4
Abdulelah Al-Amri
60'
D
Abdulelah Al-Amri
60'
D
12
Saud Abdulhamid
D
Saud Abdulhamid
D
10
Salem Al-Dawsari
M
Salem Al-Dawsari
M
6
Nasser Al-Dawsari
89'
M
Nasser Al-Dawsari
89'
M
15
Abdullah Al Khaibari
45'
M
Abdullah Al Khaibari
45'
M
7
Musab Al Juwayr
45'
M
Musab Al Juwayr
45'
M
9
Firas Al-Buraikan
60'
F
Firas Al-Buraikan
60'
F
Bench
19
Abdullah Al Hamdan
45'
F
Abdullah Al Hamdan
45'
F
22
Ahmed Al-Kassar
G
Ahmed Al-Kassar
G
18
Ala'a Al-Hejji
30'
M
Ala'a Al-Hejji
30'
M
2
Ali Majrashi
D
Ali Majrashi
D
8
Ayman Yahya
M
Ayman Yahya
M
14
Hassan Kadesh
D
Hassan Kadesh
D
25
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
D
Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
D
17
Khalid Al-Ghannam
9'
F
Khalid Al-Ghannam
9'
F
23
Mohamed Kanno
45'
M
Mohamed Kanno
45'
M
26
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
30'
M
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
30'
M
1
Nawaf Al-Aqidi
G
Nawaf Al-Aqidi
G
13
Nawaf Boushal
D
Nawaf Boushal
D
11
Saleh Al-Shehri
F
Saleh Al-Shehri
F
20
Sultan Mandash
F
Sultan Mandash
F
16
Ziyad Aljohani
M
Ziyad Aljohani
M
Best on the pitch
Mikel Oyarzabal
F · Spain
9.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 11 pass
Rodri
M · Spain
8.30
1 shots
· 119 pass
Lamine Yamal
F · Spain
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 32 pass
Aymeric Laporte
D · Spain
7.90
1 👟
· 86 pass
Pau Cubarsí
D · Spain
7.60
· 99 pass
Dani Olmo
M · Spain
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 40 pass
Spain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 86 | 81% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Cubarsí | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 99 | 98% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Porro | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedri | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Rodri | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 119 | 113% | 2 | — | — |
| Dani Olmo | M | 61 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | F | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | F | 45 | 9.30 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Lamine Yamal | F | 45 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mikel Merino | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Nico Williams | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Yéremy Pino | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
Saudi Arabia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammed Al-Owais | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Moteb Al Harbi | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Hassan Tambakti | D | 90 | 5.90 | 1 | — | — | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Ali Lajami | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulelah Al-Amri | D | 60 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Saud Abdulhamid | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Salem Al-Dawsari | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nasser Al-Dawsari | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Khaibari | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Musab Al Juwayr | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Firas Al-Buraikan | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Hamdan | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ala'a Al-Hejji | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al-Ghannam | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kanno | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Spain vs Saudi Arabia?
The final score was Spain 4–0 Saudi Arabia.
What did the model predict before Spain vs Saudi Arabia?
The model assigned 82% probability to a Spain win, 11% to a draw, and 5% to an Saudi Arabia win.