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Spalding United - Hanley Town

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.66%
Win
Spalding United
32.54%
Draw
33.8%
Win
Hanley Town
1.7
Expected xG
1.77

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.44%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Spalding United a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Hanley Town. Expected goals are 1.7 for Spalding United and 1.8 for Hanley Town (total 3.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.44% probability.

Season Stats

Spalding United
3W 0D 1L
Hanley Town
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.5
1.5
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
75%
50%
BTTS
75%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 4 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Spalding United
2W 0D 0L · at home
Hanley Town
1W 0D 0L · away
2.5
gls/g
5.0
0.5
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Spalding United Hanley Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1% 5.5% 4.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.3% 9.3% 8.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.0% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

L South Shields 4–0
W Dagenham & Redbridge 2–1
W Alfreton Town 3–0
W Ilkeston Town 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
W Abbey Hulton 2–1
L Stourbridge 0–2
W Belper United 2–5
W Lichfield City 3–1

Playing profile

Spalding United Spalding United
Attack
35
Defence
84
Form
63
Hanley Town Hanley Town
Attack
51
Defence
72
Form
76
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Spalding United vs Hanley Town?
The model gives Spalding United a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Hanley Town win.
How many goals are expected in Spalding United vs Hanley Town?
Expected goals: Spalding United 1.7, Hanley Town 1.8 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Spalding United vs Hanley Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.44%.