Skip to main content
← National League North

Spalding United - Hebburn Town

National League North November 17, 2026 20:45
Spalding United
#14 · 18 pts
vs
Hebburn Town
#13 · 19 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
62.47%
Win
Spalding United
19.33%
Draw
18.21%
Win
Hebburn Town
2.81
Expected xG
1.05
Most likely outcome
Spalding United
62.47%
Probability
61.5%
1X2 accuracy · 13 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.46%)
1X2 Result ✓ 61.5% hit rate (13 picks)
1 62%
X 19%
2 18%
Double Chance ✓ 84.6% hit rate (13 picks)
1X 82%
X2 38%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 55%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Spalding United a 62% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Hebburn Town. Expected goals are 2.8 for Spalding United and 1.1 for Hebburn Town (total 3.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.46% probability.

Season Stats

Spalding United
5W 3D 5L
Hebburn Town
5W 4D 4L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.4
1.0
Conceded
1.8
Percentages
69%
O 1.5
92%
38%
O 2.5
62%
46%
BTTS
69%
23%
Clean Sht
8%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in National League North. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
33%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
Spalding United
3W 2D 1L · at home
Hebburn Town
1W 3D 2L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.2
0.8
Conceded
2.2
50%
Win %
17%
83%
Win or Draw
67%
67%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
67%
33%
O 3.5
33%
50%
BTTS
83%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Spalding United Hebburn Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 5.9% 6.2% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.3% 8.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.5% 5.7% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.1% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% —

Recent form

Spalding United Spalding United
D Brackley Town 2–2
L Hednesford Town 2–0
L Marine 1–0
L Chorley 2–1
W Bedford Town 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Hebburn Town Hebburn Town
D AFC Telford United 2–2
L Scarborough Athletic 0–2
L Oxford City 0–3
D Darlington 1883 1–1
W Hednesford Town 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Spalding United Spalding United
Attack
35
Defence
71
Form
56
Hebburn Town Hebburn Town
Attack
26
Defence
47
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Oxford City Oxford City 13 27
2 Hereford Hereford 13 26
3 South Shields South Shields 13 26
4 Macclesfield Macclesfield 12 24
5 Chester Chester 13 23
6 Buxton Buxton 14 23
7 Bedford Town Bedford Town 13 22
8 Hednesford Town Hednesford Town 14 21
9 King's Lynn Town King's Lynn Town 14 21
10 Morecambe Morecambe 13 20
11 Chorley Chorley 13 20
12 Worksop Town Worksop Town 14 20
13 Hebburn Town Hebburn Town 13 19
14 Spalding United Spalding United 13 18
15 Marine Marine 13 16
16 Harborough Town Harborough Town 13 16
17 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 14 16
18 Brackley Town Brackley Town 14 16
19 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 13 15
20 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 14 15
21 Radcliffe Radcliffe 14 15
22 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 14 11
23 Southport Southport 13 10
24 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 13 7
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Spalding United vs Hebburn Town?
The model gives Spalding United a 62% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 18% for an Hebburn Town win.
How many goals are expected in Spalding United vs Hebburn Town?
Expected goals: Spalding United 2.8, Hebburn Town 1.1 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Spalding United vs Hebburn Town?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.46%.