Sparta Praha - AZ Alkmaar
Europa League
November 26, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.02%
Win
Sparta Praha
22.24%
Draw
52.74%
Win
AZ Alkmaar
1.3
2.61
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–2
(9.28%)
1X2 Result
1
25%
X
22%
2
53%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
47%
X2
75%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
70%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives AZ Alkmaar a 52% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Sparta Praha. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sparta Praha and 2.6 for AZ Alkmaar (total 3.9), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.28% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Sparta Praha have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for AZ Alkmaar.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
0.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
8.0
Shots OT
2.0
13.0
Corners
5.0
58%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sparta Praha
Attack
53
Defence
64
Form
64
AZ Alkmaar
Attack
62
Defence
71
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model gives Sparta Praha a 25% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 52% for an AZ Alkmaar win.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar?
Expected goals: Sparta Praha 1.3, AZ Alkmaar 2.6 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.28%.