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Sparta Praha - Bournemouth

Europa League November 05, 2026 18:45
#3 · 3 pts
vs
#10 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.22%
Win
Sparta Praha
27.49%
Draw
38.29%
Win
Bournemouth
1.65
Expected xG
1.96

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.15%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 27%
2 38%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 62%
X2 66%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 63%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bournemouth a 38% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Sparta Praha. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sparta Praha and 2.0 for Bournemouth (total 3.6), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.15% probability.

Season Stats

Sparta Praha
1W 0D 0L
Bournemouth
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
8.0
Shots OT
3.0
13.0
Corners
3.0
58%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 1 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Sparta Praha Bournemouth →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7% 5.3% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
1 4.5% 8.8% 8.6% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.7% 7.2% 7.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.0% 4.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

W Ararat-Armenia 1–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
W Real Sociedad 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
Attack
53
Defence
64
Form
64
Bournemouth Bournemouth
Attack
45
Defence
63
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
The model gives Sparta Praha a 34% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 38% for an Bournemouth win.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Expected goals: Sparta Praha 1.6, Bournemouth 2.0 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.15%.