Czech Liga
· Regular Season - 30
April 18, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction Sparta Praha
J. Kuchta
(ast. A. Sorensen)
21'
L. Haraslin
(ast. K. Kairinen)
37'
J. Kuchta
(ast. J. Grimaldo)
62'
24'
(ast. A. Alegue)
S. Nebyla
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sparta Praha a 66% win probability (draw 17%, FK Jablonec 16%). The final result was Sparta Praha 3–1 FK Jablonec. In 3 previous meetings, Sparta Praha have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FK Jablonec.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
2
1.70
Actual xG
0.59
1
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
6
Corners
5
9
Tackles
13
Match Events
⚽J. Kuchta
· ast. A. Sorensen
21'
24'
ast. A. Alegue ·
S. Nebyla⚽
⚽L. Haraslin
· ast. K. Kairinen
37'
46'
D. Puskac
/
L. Jawo
57'
F. Zorvan
/
N. Okeke
57'
M. Cedidla
/
V. Chanturishvili
⚽J. Kuchta
· ast. J. Grimaldo
62'
S. Eneme
/ S. Mannsverk
64'
73'
S. Obinaya
/
S. Nebyla
J. Zeleny
/ M. Rynes
73'
J. Grimaldo
/ G. Kuol
73'
79'
E. Singhateh
/
A. Alegue
J. Kuchta
/ A. Rrahmani
80'
O. Sonne
/ P. Kaderabek
80'
Pre-match prediction
66.33%
Sparta ←
17.21%
X
16.45%
FK
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sparta Praha)
66.33%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.74
1.70
-1.04
1.21
0.59
-0.62
Sparta Praha dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
44
G
30
J. Zelený
73'
D
J. Zelený
73'
D
25
A. Sørensen
1 👟
D
A. Sørensen
1 👟
D
19
A. Ševínský
D
A. Ševínský
D
17
O. Sonne
80'
D
O. Sonne
80'
D
5
Santiago Eneme
64'
M
Santiago Eneme
64'
M
6
1 👟
M
38
H. Sochurek
M
H. Sochurek
M
22
L. Haraslín
1 ⚽
F
L. Haraslín
1 ⚽
F
10
J. Kuchta
2 ⚽
80'
F
J. Kuchta
2 ⚽
80'
F
21
Joao Grimaldo
1 👟
73'
F
Joao Grimaldo
1 👟
73'
F
Bench
9
Albion Rrahmani
10'
F
Albion Rrahmani
10'
F
36
G. Kuol
17'
F
G. Kuol
17'
F
11
M. Ryneš
17'
D
M. Ryneš
17'
D
3
P. Kadeřábek
10'
D
P. Kadeřábek
10'
D
20
S. Mannsverk
26'
M
S. Mannsverk
26'
M
99
G
14
D. Souček
D
D. Souček
D
4
N. Tekijaški
D
N. Tekijaški
D
84
R. Pantalon
D
R. Pantalon
D
23
E. Sobol
M
E. Sobol
M
6
N. Okeke
57'
M
N. Okeke
57'
M
13
M
7
V. Tchanturishvili
57'
M
V. Tchanturishvili
57'
M
25
S. Nebyla
1 ⚽
73'
F
S. Nebyla
1 ⚽
73'
F
44
L. Jawo
45'
F
L. Jawo
45'
F
77
A. Alégué
1 👟
79'
F
A. Alégué
1 👟
79'
F
Bench
27
E. Singhateh
11'
F
E. Singhateh
11'
F
57
F. Novák
D
F. Novák
D
8
F. Zorvan
33'
M
F. Zorvan
33'
M
19
J. Chramosta
F
J. Chramosta
F
42
Matej Malenšek
F
Matej Malenšek
F
Best on the pitch
J. Kuchta
F · Sparta
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
L. Haraslín
F · Sparta
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 26 pass
S. Nebyla
F · FK
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
A. Sørensen
D · Sparta
7.60
1 👟
· 108 pass
G · FK
7.30
· 30 pass
A. Alégué
F · FK
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 17 pass
Sparta Praha — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| J. Zelený | D | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sørensen | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 108 | 102% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ševínský | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 95 | 90% | — | — | — |
| O. Sonne | D | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Eneme | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 69 | 59% | 2 | — | — | |
| H. Sochurek | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Haraslín | F | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Kuchta | F | 80 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 3 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Joao Grimaldo | F | 73 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Albion Rrahmani | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kuol | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Ryneš | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| P. Kadeřábek | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Mannsverk | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
FK Jablonec — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D. Souček | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Tekijaški | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pantalon | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Sobol | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Okeke | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — | |
| V. Tchanturishvili | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| S. Nebyla | F | 73 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| L. Jawo | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Alégué | F | 79 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| E. Singhateh | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Zorvan | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
The final score was Sparta Praha 3–1 FK Jablonec.
What did the model predict before Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Sparta Praha win, 17% to a draw, and 16% to an FK Jablonec win.