Czech Liga
· Regular Season - 30
April 18, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction Sparta Praha
J. Kuchta
(ast. A. Sorensen)
21'
L. Haraslin
(ast. K. Kairinen)
37'
J. Kuchta
(ast. J. Grimaldo)
62'
24'
(ast. A. Alegue)
S. Nebyla
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sparta Praha a 66% win probability (draw 17%, FK Jablonec 16%). The final result was Sparta Praha 3–1 FK Jablonec. In 2 previous meetings, Sparta Praha have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FK Jablonec.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
2
1.70
Actual xG
0.59
1
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
6
Corners
5
9
Tackles
13
Match Events
⚽J. Kuchta
· ast. A. Sorensen
21'
24'
ast. A. Alegue ·
S. Nebyla⚽
⚽L. Haraslin
· ast. K. Kairinen
37'
46'
D. Puskac
/
L. Jawo
57'
F. Zorvan
/
N. Okeke
57'
M. Cedidla
/
V. Chanturishvili
⚽J. Kuchta
· ast. J. Grimaldo
62'
S. Eneme
/ S. Mannsverk
64'
73'
S. Obinaya
/
S. Nebyla
J. Zeleny
/ M. Rynes
73'
J. Grimaldo
/ G. Kuol
73'
79'
E. Singhateh
/
A. Alegue
J. Kuchta
/ A. Rrahmani
80'
O. Sonne
/ P. Kaderabek
80'
Pre-match prediction
66.33%
Sparta ←
17.21%
X
16.45%
FK
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sparta Praha)
66.33%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.74
1.70
-1.04
1.21
0.59
-0.62
Sparta Praha dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
44
G
30
Jaroslav Zelený
73'
D
Jaroslav Zelený
73'
D
25
Asger Sørensen
1 👟
D
Asger Sørensen
1 👟
D
19
Adam Ševinský
D
Adam Ševinský
D
17
Oliver Sonne
80'
D
Oliver Sonne
80'
D
5
Santiago Eneme
64'
M
Santiago Eneme
64'
M
6
1 👟
M
38
H. Sochurek
M
22
L. Haraslin
1 ⚽
F
10
Jan Kuchta
2 ⚽
80'
F
Jan Kuchta
2 ⚽
80'
F
21
J. Grimaldo
1 👟
73'
F
Bench
9
A. Rrahmani
10'
F
A. Rrahmani
10'
F
36
Garang Kuol
17'
F
Garang Kuol
17'
F
11
M. Rynes
17'
D
3
P. Kaderabek
10'
D
20
S. Mannsverk
26'
M
99
G
14
Daniel Souček
D
Daniel Souček
D
4
Nemanja Tekijaški
D
Nemanja Tekijaški
D
84
Renato Pantalon
D
Renato Pantalon
D
23
Eduard Sobol
M
Eduard Sobol
M
6
Nelson Okeke
57'
M
Nelson Okeke
57'
M
13
M
7
Vakhtang Chanturishvili
57'
M
Vakhtang Chanturishvili
57'
M
25
Sebastian Nebyla
1 ⚽
73'
F
Sebastian Nebyla
1 ⚽
73'
F
44
Lamin Jawo
45'
F
Lamin Jawo
45'
F
77
Alexis Alegue
1 👟
79'
F
Alexis Alegue
1 👟
79'
F
Bench
27
E. Singhateh
11'
F
8
Filip Zorvan
33'
M
Filip Zorvan
33'
M
57
F. Novak
D
19
Jan Chramosta
F
Jan Chramosta
F
42
Matej Malenšek
F
Matej Malenšek
F
Best on the pitch
Jan Kuchta
F · Sparta
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
L. Haraslin
F · Sparta
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 26 pass
Sebastian Nebyla
F · FK
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Asger Sørensen
D · Sparta
7.60
1 👟
· 108 pass
G · FK
7.30
· 30 pass
Alexis Alegue
F · FK
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 17 pass
Sparta Praha — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Jaroslav Zelený | D | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Asger Sørensen | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 108 | 102% | 1 | — | — |
| Adam Ševinský | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 95 | 90% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Sonne | D | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Eneme | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 69 | 59% | 2 | — | — | |
| H. Sochurek | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Haraslin | F | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Jan Kuchta | F | 80 | 9.00 | 2 | — | 3 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Grimaldo | F | 73 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. Rrahmani | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| Garang Kuol | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Rynes | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| P. Kaderabek | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Mannsverk | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
FK Jablonec — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Daniel Souček | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Nemanja Tekijaški | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Renato Pantalon | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduard Sobol | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Nelson Okeke | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — | |
| Vakhtang Chanturishvili | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Nebyla | F | 73 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Lamin Jawo | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Alegue | F | 79 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| E. Singhateh | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Filip Zorvan | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
The final score was Sparta Praha 3–1 FK Jablonec.
What did the model predict before Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Sparta Praha win, 17% to a draw, and 16% to an FK Jablonec win.