← Czech Liga
#2 · 70 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#4 · 51 pts
Model correct — prediction Sparta Praha
J. Kuchta (ast. A. Sorensen) 21'
L. Haraslin (ast. K. Kairinen) 37'
J. Kuchta (ast. J. Grimaldo) 62'
24' (ast. A. Alegue) S. Nebyla

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sparta Praha a 66% win probability (draw 17%, FK Jablonec 16%). The final result was Sparta Praha 3–1 FK Jablonec. In 2 previous meetings, Sparta Praha have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FK Jablonec.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
2
1.70
Actual xG
0.59
1
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
6
Corners
5
9
Tackles
13
Match Events
J. Kuchta · ast. A. Sorensen
21'
24'
ast. A. Alegue · S. Nebyla
L. Haraslin · ast. K. Kairinen
37'
46'
D. Puskac / L. Jawo
57'
F. Zorvan / N. Okeke
57'
M. Cedidla / V. Chanturishvili
J. Kuchta · ast. J. Grimaldo
62'
S. Eneme / S. Mannsverk
64'
73'
S. Obinaya / S. Nebyla
J. Zeleny / M. Rynes
73'
J. Grimaldo / G. Kuol
73'
79'
E. Singhateh / A. Alegue
J. Kuchta / A. Rrahmani
80'
O. Sonne / P. Kaderabek
80'
Pre-match prediction
66.33%
Sparta ←
17.21%
X
16.45%
FK
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sparta Praha) 66.33% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sparta
2.74
1.70
-1.04
FK
1.21
0.59
-0.62
Sparta Praha dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.59). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zlin Zlin 33 38
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 33 77
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 30 71
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 33 70
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 37
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 30 63
3 Plzen Plzen 33 60
3 Teplice Teplice 33 36
3 Plzen Plzen 30 53
4 Slovácko Slovácko 33 30
4 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 33 53
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 30 51
5 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 52
5 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 26
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 30 49
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 30 46
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 33 46
6 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 33 23
7 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 30 43
8 Pardubice Pardubice 30 41
9 Karviná Karviná 30 39
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 30 36
11 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 35
12 Zlin Zlin 30 34
13 Teplice Teplice 30 29
14 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 23
15 Slovácko Slovácko 30 23
16 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 30 22
Lineups
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 4-3-3
44
G 6.70
30 Jaroslav Zelený Jaroslav Zelený 73' D 6.70
25 Asger Sørensen Asger Sørensen 1 👟 D 7.60
19 Adam Ševinský Adam Ševinský D 6.90
17 Oliver Sonne Oliver Sonne 80' D 6.70
5 Santiago Eneme Santiago Eneme 64' M 6.20
6
1 👟 M 7.20
38
H. Sochurek M 6.90
22
L. Haraslin 1 ⚽ F 8.30
10 Jan Kuchta Jan Kuchta 2 ⚽ 80' F 9.00
21
J. Grimaldo 1 👟 73' F 7.20
Bench
9 A. Rrahmani A. Rrahmani 10' F 6.30
36 Garang Kuol Garang Kuol 17' F 6.90
11
M. Rynes 17' D 6.90
3
P. Kaderabek 10' D 6.30
20
S. Mannsverk 26' M 6.70
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 3-4-3
99
G 7.30
14 Daniel Souček Daniel Souček D 5.70
4 Nemanja Tekijaški Nemanja Tekijaški D 6.30
84 Renato Pantalon Renato Pantalon D 5.60
23 Eduard Sobol Eduard Sobol M 6.30
6 Nelson Okeke Nelson Okeke 57' M 6.90
13
M 6.30
7 Vakhtang Chanturishvili Vakhtang Chanturishvili 57' M 6.30
25 Sebastian Nebyla Sebastian Nebyla 1 ⚽ 73' F 7.70
44 Lamin Jawo Lamin Jawo 45' F 6.30
77 Alexis Alegue Alexis Alegue 1 👟 79' F 7.20
Bench
27
E. Singhateh 11' F 6.30
8 Filip Zorvan Filip Zorvan 33' M 6.30
57
F. Novak D
19 Jan Chramosta Jan Chramosta F
42 Matej Malenšek Matej Malenšek F
Best on the pitch
Jan Kuchta
Jan Kuchta
F · Sparta
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
L. Haraslin
F · Sparta
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 26 pass
Sebastian Nebyla
Sebastian Nebyla
F · FK
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
Asger Sørensen
Asger Sørensen
D · Sparta
7.60
1 👟
· 108 pass
G · FK
7.30
· 30 pass
Alexis Alegue
Alexis Alegue
F · FK
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 17 pass
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 22 20%
Jaroslav Zelený D 73 6.70 1 35 28% 2
Asger Sørensen D 90 7.60 1 108 102% 1
Adam Ševinský D 90 6.90 1 95 90%
Oliver Sonne D 80 6.70 50 47%
Santiago Eneme M 64 6.20 1 35 31% 2
M 90 7.20 1 69 59% 2
H. Sochurek M 90 6.90 41 38% 2
L. Haraslin F 90 8.30 1 4 26 23%
Jan Kuchta F 80 9.00 2 3 15 13%
J. Grimaldo F 73 7.20 1 26 21%
A. Rrahmani F 10 6.30 3
Garang Kuol F 17 6.90 3 3%
M. Rynes D 17 6.90 1 17 15%
P. Kaderabek D 10 6.30 4 3%
S. Mannsverk M 26 6.70 21 21%
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 30 18%
Daniel Souček D 90 5.70 32 22% 2
Nemanja Tekijaški D 90 6.30 29 29% 1
Renato Pantalon D 90 5.60 39 29% 1
Eduard Sobol M 90 6.30 18 14% 1
Nelson Okeke M 57 6.90 17 16% 4
M 90 6.30 22 16% 3
Vakhtang Chanturishvili M 57 6.30 1 19 16%
Sebastian Nebyla F 73 7.70 1 1 20 16%
Lamin Jawo F 45 6.30 8 5%
Alexis Alegue F 79 7.20 1 1 17 13%
E. Singhateh F 11 6.30 2 2%
Filip Zorvan M 33 6.30 20 8% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
The final score was Sparta Praha 3–1 FK Jablonec.
What did the model predict before Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Sparta Praha win, 17% to a draw, and 16% to an FK Jablonec win.