← Czech Liga
#2 · 70 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#4 · 51 pts
Model correct — prediction Sparta Praha
J. Kuchta (ast. J. Zeleny) 45'+2
A. Rrahmani (ast. J. Kuchta) 77'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sparta Praha a 63% win probability (draw 19%, FK Jablonec 16%). The final result was Sparta Praha 2–0 FK Jablonec. In 2 previous meetings, Sparta Praha have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FK Jablonec.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
2.21
Actual xG
0.57
2
Saves
3
57%
Possession
43%
9
Corners
4
12
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
E. Sobol
J. Grimaldo / M. Rynes
15'
43'
E. Sobol
43'
E. Sobol
J. Kuchta · ast. J. Zeleny
45'+2
P. Kaderabek / O. Sonne
46'
46'
D. Soucek / J. Chramosta
53'
S. Obinaya / F. Novak
S. Mannsverk
55'
A. Irving / A. Rrahmani
60'
62'
D. Puskac / A. Alegue
75'
M. Malensek / S. Nebyla
75'
R. Pantalon / N. Okeke
A. Rrahmani · ast. J. Kuchta
77'
G. Kuol / L. Azaka
78'
S. Mannsverk / S. Eneme
78'
L. Azaka
80'
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
63.93%
Sparta ←
19.8%
X
16.27%
FK
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sparta Praha) 63.93% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sparta
2.38
2.21
-0.17
FK
1.11
0.57
-0.54
Sparta Praha dominated by xG (2.21 vs 0.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zlin Zlin 33 38
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 33 77
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 30 71
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 33 70
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 37
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 30 63
3 Plzen Plzen 33 60
3 Teplice Teplice 33 36
3 Plzen Plzen 30 53
4 Slovácko Slovácko 33 30
4 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 33 53
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 30 51
5 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 52
5 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 26
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 30 49
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 30 46
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 33 46
6 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 33 23
7 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 30 43
8 Pardubice Pardubice 30 41
9 Karviná Karviná 30 39
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 30 36
11 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 35
12 Zlin Zlin 30 34
13 Teplice Teplice 30 29
14 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 23
15 Slovácko Slovácko 30 23
16 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 30 22
Lineups
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 4-3-3
44
G 6.90
30 Jaroslav Zelený Jaroslav Zelený 1 👟 D 8.00
25 Asger Sørensen Asger Sørensen D 7.50
19 Adam Ševinský Adam Ševinský D 7.90
3
P. Kaderabek 45' D 6.90
18 Andy Irving Andy Irving 60' M 6.70
6
M 8.30
20
S. Mannsverk 78' M 6.70
21
J. Grimaldo 15' F 6.50
10 Jan Kuchta Jan Kuchta 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.90
36 Garang Kuol Garang Kuol 78' F 7.60
Bench
9 A. Rrahmani A. Rrahmani 1 ⚽ 30' F 8.70
35
L. Azaka 2' F 4.70
11
M. Rynes 75' D 6.70
17 Oliver Sonne Oliver Sonne 45' D 7.20
5 Santiago Eneme Santiago Eneme 12' M 6.60
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 3-4-1-2
1
G 5.30
57
F. Novak 53' D 6.70
4 Nemanja Tekijaški Nemanja Tekijaški D 6.70
18
D 7.30
23 Eduard Sobol Eduard Sobol 43' M 5.30
25 Sebastian Nebyla Sebastian Nebyla 75' M 6.30
6 Nelson Okeke Nelson Okeke 75' M 6.90
7 Vakhtang Chanturishvili Vakhtang Chanturishvili M 7.20
8 Filip Zorvan Filip Zorvan F 6.90
19 Jan Chramosta Jan Chramosta 45' F 6.20
77 Alexis Alegue Alexis Alegue 62' F 6.20
Bench
14 Daniel Souček Daniel Souček 45' D 6.20
42 Matej Malenšek Matej Malenšek 15' F 6.30
84 Renato Pantalon Renato Pantalon 15' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
A. Rrahmani
A. Rrahmani
F · Sparta
8.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
M · Sparta
8.30
· 67 pass
Jaroslav Zelený
Jaroslav Zelený
D · Sparta
8.00
1 👟
· 42 pass
Adam Ševinský
Adam Ševinský
D · Sparta
7.90
3 shots · 57 pass
Jan Kuchta
Jan Kuchta
F · Sparta
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 12 pass
Garang Kuol
Garang Kuol
F · Sparta
7.60
1 shots · 17 pass
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 22 19%
Jaroslav Zelený D 90 8.00 1 42 39%
Asger Sørensen D 90 7.50 67 61% 1
Adam Ševinský D 90 7.90 3 57 54% 3
P. Kaderabek D 45 6.90 23 16%
Andy Irving M 60 6.70 27 23% 1
M 90 8.30 67 64% 4
S. Mannsverk M 78 6.70 1 37 36% 2 1
J. Grimaldo F 15 6.50 4 2%
Jan Kuchta F 90 7.90 1 1 3 12 9%
Garang Kuol F 78 7.60 1 17 14% 1
A. Rrahmani F 30 8.70 1 3 15 13%
L. Azaka F 2 4.70 1
M. Rynes D 75 6.70 27 24%
Oliver Sonne D 45 7.20 2 26 21%
Santiago Eneme M 12 6.60 11 9%
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.30 31 19%
F. Novak D 53 6.70 37 34% 1
Nemanja Tekijaški D 90 6.70 1 39 37%
D 90 7.30 30 24% 5
Eduard Sobol M 43 5.30 1 18 15% 1 2 1
Sebastian Nebyla M 75 6.30 27 24%
Nelson Okeke M 75 6.90 32 24% 2
Vakhtang Chanturishvili M 90 7.20 35 31%
Filip Zorvan F 90 6.90 1 31 21%
Jan Chramosta F 45 6.20 1 5 5%
Alexis Alegue F 62 6.20 21 17%
Daniel Souček D 45 6.20 1 15 10%
Matej Malenšek F 15 6.30 3 3%
Renato Pantalon D 15 6.30 10 8%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
The final score was Sparta Praha 2–0 FK Jablonec.
What did the model predict before Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Sparta Praha win, 19% to a draw, and 16% to an FK Jablonec win.