Czech Liga
· Championship Group - 5
May 24, 2026 14:00
✓Model correct — prediction Sparta Praha
J. Mercado
(ast. J. Kuchta)
35'
A. Rrahmani
(ast. J. Zeleny)
48'
8'
D. Ludvicek
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sparta Praha a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Hradec Králové 22%). The final result was Sparta Praha 2–1 Hradec Králové. In 2 previous meetings, Sparta Praha have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hradec Králové.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
1.05
Actual xG
1.08
1
Saves
4
78%
Possession
22%
4
Corners
1
10
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
D. Ludvicek⚽
⚽J. Mercado
· ast. J. Kuchta
35'
⚽A. Rrahmani
· ast. J. Zeleny
48'
57'
L. Kubr
/
A. Binar
57'
L. Cmelik
/
E. Neto
63'
F. Cihak
65'
J. Hodek
/
F. Cihak
J. Zeleny
/ M. Rynes
69'
H. Sochurek
/ S. Eneme
69'
76'
V. Zentrich
/
S. Ponikelsky
76'
A. Umar
/
M. Regza
J. Kuchta
/ A. Irving
76'
L. Haraslin
/ G. Kuol
76'
78'
L. Cmelik
K. Kairinen
/ S. Mannsverk
83'
90'+4
P. Vizek
Pre-match prediction
55.08%
Sparta ←
22.56%
X
22.35%
Hradec
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sparta Praha)
55.08%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
1.05
-0.72
1.09
1.08
-0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.05 – 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
44
Jakub Surovčík
89'
G
Jakub Surovčík
89'
G
30
Jaroslav Zelený
1 👟
69'
D
Jaroslav Zelený
1 👟
69'
D
25
Asger Sørensen
89'
D
Asger Sørensen
89'
D
4
Jakub Martinec
89'
D
Jakub Martinec
89'
D
17
Oliver Sonne
89'
D
Oliver Sonne
89'
D
22
Lukáš Haraslín
77'
M
Lukáš Haraslín
77'
M
6
Kaan Kairinen
83'
M
Kaan Kairinen
83'
M
38
Hugo Sochurek
69'
M
Hugo Sochurek
69'
M
7
John Mercado
1 ⚽
89'
M
John Mercado
1 ⚽
89'
M
9
A. Rrahmani
1 ⚽
89'
F
A. Rrahmani
1 ⚽
89'
F
10
Jan Kuchta
1 👟
76'
F
Jan Kuchta
1 👟
76'
F
Bench
19
Adam Ševinský
D
Adam Ševinský
D
18
Andy Irving
13'
M
Andy Irving
13'
M
61
D. Kerl
G
D. Kerl
G
36
Garang Kuol
12'
F
Garang Kuol
12'
F
11
Matěj Ryneš
20'
D
Matěj Ryneš
20'
D
29
Matyáš Vojta
F
Matyáš Vojta
F
5
Santiago Eneme
20'
M
Santiago Eneme
20'
M
66
Sebastian Zajac
G
Sebastian Zajac
G
20
S. Mannsverk
6'
M
S. Mannsverk
6'
M
1
Patrik Vízek
89'
G
Patrik Vízek
89'
G
5
Filip Čihák
65'
D
Filip Čihák
65'
D
4
Tomáš Petrášek
89'
D
Tomáš Petrášek
89'
D
7
Jakub Uhrinčať
89'
D
Jakub Uhrinčať
89'
D
26
Daniel Horák
89'
M
Daniel Horák
89'
M
19
Elione Fernandes Neto
57'
M
Elione Fernandes Neto
57'
M
17
Ondřej Mihálik
89'
M
Ondřej Mihálik
89'
M
2
David Ludvicek
1 ⚽
89'
M
David Ludvicek
1 ⚽
89'
M
23
Adam Binar
57'
F
Adam Binar
57'
F
21
Stepan Ponikelsky
76'
F
Stepan Ponikelsky
76'
F
18
Marko Regža
76'
F
Marko Regža
76'
F
Bench
24
Abdullahi Umar
13'
F
Abdullahi Umar
13'
F
12
Adam Zadražil
G
Adam Zadražil
G
14
Jakub Hodek
24'
F
Jakub Hodek
24'
F
77
Lucas Kubr
32'
D
Lucas Kubr
32'
D
9
Lukáš Čmelík
32'
M
Lukáš Čmelík
32'
M
20
Matyas Vagner
G
Matyas Vagner
G
8
Viktor Filip Zentrich
13'
D
Viktor Filip Zentrich
13'
D
Best on the pitch
John Mercado
M · Sparta
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
A. Rrahmani
F · Sparta
7.90
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 40 pass
David Ludvicek
M · Hradec
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
Kaan Kairinen
M · Sparta
7.30
1 shots
· 86 pass
Hugo Sochurek
M · Sparta
7.20
· 52 pass
Filip Čihák
D · Hradec
7.20
· 17 pass
Sparta Praha — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Surovčík | G | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Jaroslav Zelený | D | 69 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Asger Sørensen | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 101 | 95% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakub Martinec | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 81 | 79% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Sonne | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukáš Haraslín | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Kaan Kairinen | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 84% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Sochurek | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| John Mercado | M | 89 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rrahmani | F | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 6 | 40 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Kuchta | F | 76 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Andy Irving | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Garang Kuol | F | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Matěj Ryneš | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Eneme | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Mannsverk | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Hradec Králové — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrik Vízek | G | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Filip Čihák | D | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Tomáš Petrášek | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Jakub Uhrinčať | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Daniel Horák | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Elione Fernandes Neto | M | 57 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ondřej Mihálik | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| David Ludvicek | M | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Adam Binar | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Stepan Ponikelsky | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Marko Regža | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Abdullahi Umar | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Hodek | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Kubr | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukáš Čmelík | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Viktor Filip Zentrich | D | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové?
The final score was Sparta Praha 2–1 Hradec Králové.
What did the model predict before Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Sparta Praha win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Hradec Králové win.