Czech Liga
· Championship Group - 5
May 24, 2026 14:00
✓Model correct — prediction Sparta Praha
J. Mercado
(ast. J. Kuchta)
35'
A. Rrahmani
(ast. J. Zeleny)
48'
8'
D. Ludvicek
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sparta Praha a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Hradec Králové 22%). The final result was Sparta Praha 2–1 Hradec Králové. In 3 previous meetings, Sparta Praha have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Hradec Králové.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
1.05
Actual xG
1.08
1
Saves
4
78%
Possession
22%
4
Corners
1
10
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
8'
D. Ludvicek⚽
⚽J. Mercado
· ast. J. Kuchta
35'
⚽A. Rrahmani
· ast. J. Zeleny
48'
57'
L. Kubr
/
A. Binar
57'
L. Cmelik
/
E. Neto
63'
F. Cihak
65'
J. Hodek
/
F. Cihak
J. Zeleny
/ M. Rynes
69'
H. Sochurek
/ S. Eneme
69'
76'
V. Zentrich
/
S. Ponikelsky
76'
A. Umar
/
M. Regza
J. Kuchta
/ A. Irving
76'
L. Haraslin
/ G. Kuol
76'
78'
L. Cmelik
K. Kairinen
/ S. Mannsverk
83'
90'+4
P. Vizek
Pre-match prediction
55.08%
Sparta ←
22.56%
X
22.35%
Hradec
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sparta Praha)
55.08%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
1.05
-0.72
1.09
1.08
-0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.05 – 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
44
J. Surovčík
89'
G
J. Surovčík
89'
G
30
J. Zelený
1 👟
69'
D
J. Zelený
1 👟
69'
D
25
A. Sørensen
89'
D
A. Sørensen
89'
D
4
J. Martinec
89'
D
J. Martinec
89'
D
17
O. Sonne
89'
D
O. Sonne
89'
D
22
L. Haraslín
77'
M
L. Haraslín
77'
M
6
K. Kairinen
83'
M
K. Kairinen
83'
M
38
H. Sochurek
69'
M
H. Sochurek
69'
M
7
J. Mercado
1 ⚽
89'
M
J. Mercado
1 ⚽
89'
M
9
A. Rrahmani
1 ⚽
89'
F
A. Rrahmani
1 ⚽
89'
F
10
J. Kuchta
1 👟
76'
F
J. Kuchta
1 👟
76'
F
Bench
18
A. Irving
13'
M
A. Irving
13'
M
19
A. Ševínský
D
A. Ševínský
D
61
D. Kerl
G
D. Kerl
G
36
G. Kuol
12'
F
G. Kuol
12'
F
11
Matěj Ryneš
20'
D
Matěj Ryneš
20'
D
29
M. Vojta
F
M. Vojta
F
5
Santiago Eneme
20'
M
Santiago Eneme
20'
M
20
S. Mannsverk
6'
M
S. Mannsverk
6'
M
66
S. Zajac
G
S. Zajac
G
1
P. Vízek
89'
G
P. Vízek
89'
G
5
F. Čihák
65'
D
F. Čihák
65'
D
4
T. Petrášek
89'
D
T. Petrášek
89'
D
7
J. Uhrinčať
89'
D
J. Uhrinčať
89'
D
26
D. Horák
89'
M
D. Horák
89'
M
19
Elione Fernandes Neto
57'
M
Elione Fernandes Neto
57'
M
17
O. Mihálik
89'
M
O. Mihálik
89'
M
2
D. Ludvíček
1 ⚽
89'
M
D. Ludvíček
1 ⚽
89'
M
23
Adam Binar
57'
F
Adam Binar
57'
F
21
S. Ponikelsky
76'
F
S. Ponikelsky
76'
F
18
M. Regža
76'
F
M. Regža
76'
F
Bench
24
A. Umar
13'
F
A. Umar
13'
F
12
A. Zadražil
G
A. Zadražil
G
14
J. Hodek
24'
F
J. Hodek
24'
F
77
Lucas Kubr
32'
D
Lucas Kubr
32'
D
9
Lukáš Čmelík
32'
M
Lukáš Čmelík
32'
M
20
M. Vágner
G
M. Vágner
G
8
V. Zentrich
13'
D
V. Zentrich
13'
D
Best on the pitch
J. Mercado
M · Sparta
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
A. Rrahmani
F · Sparta
7.90
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 40 pass
D. Ludvíček
M · Hradec
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
K. Kairinen
M · Sparta
7.30
1 shots
· 86 pass
H. Sochurek
M · Sparta
7.20
· 52 pass
F. Čihák
D · Hradec
7.20
· 17 pass
Sparta Praha — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Surovčík | G | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| J. Zelený | D | 69 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sørensen | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 101 | 95% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Martinec | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 81 | 79% | — | — | — |
| O. Sonne | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Haraslín | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| K. Kairinen | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 84% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Sochurek | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mercado | M | 89 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rrahmani | F | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 6 | 40 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kuchta | F | 76 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Irving | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. Kuol | F | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Matěj Ryneš | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Eneme | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Mannsverk | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Hradec Králové — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Vízek | G | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | — | — | — |
| F. Čihák | D | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 5 | 1 | — |
| T. Petrášek | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Uhrinčať | D | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Horák | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Elione Fernandes Neto | M | 57 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| O. Mihálik | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ludvíček | M | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Adam Binar | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Ponikelsky | F | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Regža | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Umar | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Hodek | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Kubr | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukáš Čmelík | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| V. Zentrich | D | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové?
The final score was Sparta Praha 2–1 Hradec Králové.
What did the model predict before Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Sparta Praha win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Hradec Králové win.