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Sparta Praha - Lillestrom

Europa League October 15, 2026 18:45
Sparta Praha
#31 · 0 pts
vs
Lillestrom
#20 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.98%
Win
Sparta Praha
24.87%
Draw
27.14%
Win
Lillestrom
1.71
Expected xG
1.15

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.75%)
1X2 Result
1 48%
X 25%
2 27%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 73%
X2 52%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 65%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sparta Praha a 47% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Lillestrom. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sparta Praha and 1.2 for Lillestrom (total 2.9), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.75% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Sparta Praha Lillestrom →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7% 6.6% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.3% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
Lillestrom Lillestrom
W Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2–1
D Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
Attack
41
Defence
59
Form
33
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Attack
39
Defence
59
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
The model gives Sparta Praha a 47% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 27% for an Lillestrom win.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
Expected goals: Sparta Praha 1.7, Lillestrom 1.2 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.75%.