Sparta Praha - Lyon
Champions League
August 04, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.3%
Win
Sparta Praha
25.41%
Draw
33.29%
Win
Lyon
2.48
2.18
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.28%)
1X2 Result
1
41%
X
25%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
59%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
69%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sparta Praha a 41% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Lyon. Expected goals are 2.5 for Sparta Praha and 2.2 for Lyon (total 4.7), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.28% probability.
Season Stats
8W
2D
5L
4W
5D
6L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.3
1.3
Conceded
1.7
4.5
Shots OT
4.3
6.0
Corners
5.7
60%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
87%
53%
O 2.5
60%
47%
BTTS
67%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
8W
1D
1L
· at home
4W
3D
3L
· away
2.4
gls/g
1.4
1.0
Conceded
1.2
80%
Win %
40%
90%
Win or Draw
70%
90%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
30%
40%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
40%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Sparta Praha
Lyon →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sparta Praha
Attack
45
Defence
62
Form
52
Lyon
Attack
53
Defence
58
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Lyon?
The model gives Sparta Praha a 41% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 33% for an Lyon win.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Praha vs Lyon?
Expected goals: Sparta Praha 2.5, Lyon 2.2 (total 4.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Sparta Praha vs Lyon?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.28%.