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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10 October 25, 2026 16:45 Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
#14 · 9 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Ajax
#2 · 21 pts
Jens Toornstra (ast. Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi) 43'
22' (ast. Julian Brandt) Abdellah Ouazane
45'+1 (ast. Julian Brandt) Tolu Arokodare
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ajax a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Sparta Rotterdam 23%). The final result was Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Ajax. In 2 previous meetings, Sparta Rotterdam have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Ajax.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
4
0.93
Actual xG
1.43
2
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
5
Corners
3
22
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
22'
ast. Julian Brandt · Abdellah Ouazane⚽
⚽Jens Toornstra · ast. Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi
43'
45'+1
ast. Julian Brandt · Tolu Arokodare⚽
45'
Davy Klaassen / Viktor Tsygankov ↕
↕ Jens Toornstra / Mitchell Van Bergen
56'
61'
Oscar Gloukh / Abdellah Ouazane ↕
61'
Yves Bissouma / Jorthy Mokio ↕
64'
Julian Brandt
↕ Robin van Cruijsen / Andrej Kostić
70'
79'
Owen Wijndal / Youri Baas ↕
↕ Marvin Young / Teo Quintero León
84'
↕ Bruno Martins Indi / Casper Terho
84'
88'
Daley Blind / Julian Brandt ↕
Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi
89'
90'+3
Lucas Oliveira·Rosa
Pre-match prediction
23.41%
Sparta
23.14%
X
53.45%
Ajax ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ajax) 53.45% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sparta
1.15
0.93
-0.22
Ajax
2.48
1.43
-1.05
Ajax dominated by xG (1.43 vs 0.93). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5-4-1
1 M. Brouwer M. Brouwer G 5.95
5 B. Kuipers B. Kuipers D 5.84
4 B. Martins Indi B. Martins Indi 84' D 6.69
6 N. Verschuren N. Verschuren D 6.75
3 M. Young M. Young 84' D 6.26
2 L. Martes L. Martes D 5.87
11 I. Babadi I. Babadi 1 👟 M 6.60
10 Cedric Hatenboer Cedric Hatenboer M 6.58
8 J. Toornstra J. Toornstra 1 ⚽ 56' M 7.31
7 Robin van Cruijsen Robin van Cruijsen 70' M 6.87
9 M. Zonneveld M. Zonneveld F 6.24
Bench
18 A. Roaldsøy A. Roaldsøy M 0.00
12 B. Reith B. Reith D 0.00
21 C. Terho C. Terho 6' F 6.40
20 F. Bednarek F. Bednarek G 0.00
15 G. Vianello G. Vianello D 0.00
16 J. Baas J. Baas M 0.00
22 Joel Ideho Joel Ideho F 0.00
17 M. van Bergen M. van Bergen 34' F 6.49
30 P. Kuiper P. Kuiper G 0.00
14 Teo Quintero Teo Quintero 6' D 6.26
Ajax Ajax 4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen M. ter Stegen G 6.55
15 Y. Baas Y. Baas 79' D 7.12
36 D. Janse D. Janse D 7.10
6 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer D 6.82
2 Lucas Rosa Lucas Rosa D 6.59
8 J. Brandt J. Brandt 2 👟 88' M 8.49
4 S. Amrabat S. Amrabat M 6.99
24 J. Mokio J. Mokio 61' M 6.40
68 A. Ouazane A. Ouazane 1 ⚽ 61' F 8.16
99 T. Arokodare T. Arokodare 1 ⚽ F 7.16
11 V. Tsygankov V. Tsygankov 45' F 6.78
Bench
30 A. Bouwman A. Bouwman D 0.00
17 D. Blind D. Blind 2' D 0.00
18 D. Klaassen D. Klaassen 45' M 6.03
22 J. Heerkens J. Heerkens G 0.00
21 Jofre Torrents Jofre Torrents D 0.00
38 Marcos Leonardo Marcos Leonardo F 0.00
67 Mohamed Abdalla Mohamed Abdalla M 0.00
26 M. Paes M. Paes G 0.00
10 O. Gloukh O. Gloukh 29' M 6.68
5 O. Wijndal O. Wijndal 11' D 6.36
43 Rayane Bounida Rayane Bounida F 0.00
28 Y. Bissouma Y. Bissouma 29' M 6.29
Best on the pitch
J. Brandt
J. Brandt
M · Ajax
8.49
2 👟
2 shots · 67 pass
A. Ouazane
A. Ouazane
F · Ajax
8.16
1 ⚽
5 shots · 29 pass
J. Toornstra
J. Toornstra
M · Sparta
7.31
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
T. Arokodare
T. Arokodare
F · Ajax
7.16
1 ⚽
4 shots · 20 pass
Y. Baas
Y. Baas
D · Ajax
7.12
1 shots · 53 pass
D. Janse
D. Janse
D · Ajax
7.10
· 76 pass
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Brouwer G 90 5.95 — — 0 37 21% 0 — —
B. Kuipers D 90 5.84 — — 0 41 30% 1 — —
B. Martins Indi D 84 6.69 — — 0 35 31% 1 — —
N. Verschuren D 90 6.75 — — 0 52 45% 3 — —
M. Young D 84 6.26 — — 0 32 26% 2 — —
L. Martes D 90 5.87 — — 1 40 33% 3 — —
I. Babadi M 90 6.60 — 1 1 46 36% 1 1 —
Cedric Hatenboer M 90 6.58 — — 0 48 43% 3 — —
J. Toornstra M 56 7.31 1 — 2 9 7% 1 — —
Robin van Cruijsen M 70 6.87 — — 3 20 16% 3 — —
M. Zonneveld F 90 6.24 — — 1 11 9% 1 — —
C. Terho F 6 6.40 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
M. van Bergen F 34 6.49 — — 2 20 18% 1 — —
Teo Quintero D 6 6.26 — — 0 5 5% 2 — —
Ajax Ajax — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. ter Stegen G 90 6.55 — — 0 52 36% 0 — —
Y. Baas D 79 7.12 — — 1 53 46% 3 — —
D. Janse D 90 7.10 — — 0 76 70% 1 — —
T. Kehrer D 90 6.82 — — 0 69 64% 0 — —
Lucas Rosa D 90 6.59 — — 0 55 52% 2 1 —
J. Brandt M 88 8.49 — 2 2 67 60% 1 1 —
S. Amrabat M 90 6.99 — — 0 80 74% 3 — —
J. Mokio M 61 6.40 — — 2 28 26% 0 — —
A. Ouazane F 61 8.16 1 — 5 29 28% 1 — —
T. Arokodare F 90 7.16 1 — 4 20 10% 0 — —
V. Tsygankov F 45 6.78 — — 1 27 21% 0 — —
D. Blind D 2 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
D. Klaassen M 45 6.03 — — 0 25 17% 0 — —
O. Gloukh M 29 6.68 — — 1 15 13% 1 — —
O. Wijndal D 11 6.36 — — 0 9 9% 0 — —
Y. Bissouma M 29 6.29 — — 0 14 12% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?
The final score was Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Ajax.
What did the model predict before Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Sparta Rotterdam win, 23% to a draw, and 53% to an Ajax win.