A. Santos
53'
M. Zonneveld
(ast. T. Lauritsen)
90'+1
(og)
14'
G. Vianello
50'
A. Zagre
62'
(ast. G. de Regt)
N. Naujoks
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Excelsior a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Sparta Rotterdam 30%). The final result was Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior. In 2 previous meetings, Sparta Rotterdam have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Excelsior.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
4
1.76
Actual xG
0.95
1
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
2
11
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
14'
(og)
G. Vianello⚽
V. van Crooij
40'
S. Bakari
/ M. Zonneveld
46'
P. Clement
/ J. Baas
46'
50'
A. Zagre⚽
⚽A. Santos
53'
J. Baas
54'
62'
ast. G. de Regt ·
N. Naujoks⚽
64'
I. Bronkhorst
/
R. Meissen
S. Mito
/ J. de Guzman
71'
G. Vianello
/ P. van Aanholt
71'
T. Quintero
71'
75'
J. Bergraaf
/
M. van Duinen
J. Kitolano
/ J. Toornstra
79'
86'
S. Wlodarczyk
/
D. Sanches Fernandes
86'
A. Carlen
/
N. Naujoks
P. van Aanholt
89'
⚽M. Zonneveld
· ast. T. Lauritsen
90'+1
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
30.35%
Sparta
26.21%
X
43.45%
Excelsior ←
we assigned to the actual result (Excelsior)
43.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
1.76
+0.86
1.43
0.95
-0.48
Sparta Rotterdam dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.95).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Drommel
G
J. Drommel
G
5
Giannino Vianello
1 ⚽
71'
D
Giannino Vianello
1 ⚽
71'
D
4
Teo Quintero
D
Teo Quintero
D
3
Marvin Young
D
Marvin Young
D
2
Saïd Bakari
45'
D
Saïd Bakari
45'
D
6
P. Clement
45'
M
P. Clement
45'
M
8
J. Kitolano
79'
M
J. Kitolano
79'
M
11
S. Mito
71'
M
S. Mito
71'
M
10
Vito van Crooij
M
Vito van Crooij
M
7
A. Santos
1 ⚽
M
A. Santos
1 ⚽
M
9
T. Lauritsen
1 👟
F
T. Lauritsen
1 👟
F
Bench
17
Casper Terho
F
Casper Terho
F
20
Filip Bednarek
G
Filip Bednarek
G
21
Jens Toornstra
18'
M
Jens Toornstra
18'
M
18
Jonathan de Guzmán
26'
M
Jonathan de Guzmán
26'
M
16
Julian Baas
52'
M
Julian Baas
52'
M
13
Justice Esser
D
Justice Esser
D
14
Max De Ligt
D
Max De Ligt
D
19
Milan Zonneveld
1 ⚽
52'
F
Milan Zonneveld
1 ⚽
52'
F
30
Pascal Kuiper
G
Pascal Kuiper
G
15
Patrick van Aanholt
26'
D
Patrick van Aanholt
26'
D
12
S. Sambo
D
S. Sambo
D
1
Stijn van Gassel
G
Stijn van Gassel
G
12
A. Zagré
1 ⚽
D
A. Zagré
1 ⚽
D
14
L. Schouten
D
L. Schouten
D
4
Casper Widell
D
Casper Widell
D
3
Rick Meissen
64'
D
Rick Meissen
64'
D
23
Irakli Yegoian
M
Irakli Yegoian
M
20
L. Hartjes
M
L. Hartjes
M
10
Noah Naujoks
1 ⚽
86'
M
Noah Naujoks
1 ⚽
86'
M
11
G. de Regt
1 👟
F
G. de Regt
1 👟
F
29
Mike van Duinen
75'
F
Mike van Duinen
75'
F
30
D. Sanches Fernandes
86'
F
D. Sanches Fernandes
86'
F
Bench
6
A. Carlén
11'
M
A. Carlén
11'
M
16
Calvin Raatsie
G
Calvin Raatsie
G
24
Giuliano Cairo
M
Giuliano Cairo
M
2
I. Bronkhorst
33'
D
I. Bronkhorst
33'
D
33
Jerolldino Armantrading
22'
F
Jerolldino Armantrading
22'
F
8
Mathijs Tielemans
M
Mathijs Tielemans
M
34
Noa el Hamdaoui
M
Noa el Hamdaoui
M
15
Simon Janssen
D
Simon Janssen
D
9
S. Włodarczyk
11'
F
S. Włodarczyk
11'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Santos
M · Sparta
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Jens Toornstra
M · Sparta
7.30
· 4 pass
Noah Naujoks
M · Excelsior
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
A. Zagré
D · Excelsior
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 42 pass
L. Hartjes
M · Excelsior
7.20
3 shots
· 35 pass
T. Lauritsen
F · Sparta
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 14 pass
Sparta Rotterdam — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Drommel | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Giannino Vianello | D | 71 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Teo Quintero | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 62% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Marvin Young | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Saïd Bakari | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| P. Clement | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kitolano | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Mito | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Vito van Crooij | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Santos | M | 97 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Lauritsen | F | 97 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jens Toornstra | M | 18 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan de Guzmán | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Julian Baas | M | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Milan Zonneveld | F | 52 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Patrick van Aanholt | D | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
Excelsior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stijn van Gassel | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Zagré | D | 97 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Schouten | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Casper Widell | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Rick Meissen | D | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Irakli Yegoian | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Hartjes | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Noah Naujoks | M | 86 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| G. de Regt | F | 97 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Mike van Duinen | F | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Sanches Fernandes | F | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| A. Carlén | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Bronkhorst | D | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jerolldino Armantrading | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Włodarczyk | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior?
The final score was Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior.
What did the model predict before Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Sparta Rotterdam win, 26% to a draw, and 43% to an Excelsior win.