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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 14:30 Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
#11 · 5 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Excelsior
#5 · 10 pts
A. Santos 53'
M. Zonneveld (ast. T. Lauritsen) 90'+1
(og) 14' G. Vianello
50' A. Zagre
62' (ast. G. de Regt) N. Naujoks
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Excelsior a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Sparta Rotterdam 30%). The final result was Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior. In 2 previous meetings, Sparta Rotterdam have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Excelsior.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
4
1.76
Actual xG
0.95
1
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
2
11
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
14'
(og) G. Vianello⚽
V. van Crooij
40'
↕ S. Bakari / M. Zonneveld
46'
↕ P. Clement / J. Baas
46'
50'
A. Zagre⚽
⚽A. Santos
53'
J. Baas
54'
62'
ast. G. de Regt · N. Naujoks⚽
64'
I. Bronkhorst / R. Meissen ↕
↕ S. Mito / J. de Guzman
71'
↕ G. Vianello / P. van Aanholt
71'
T. Quintero
71'
75'
J. Bergraaf / M. van Duinen ↕
↕ J. Kitolano / J. Toornstra
79'
86'
S. Wlodarczyk / D. Sanches Fernandes ↕
86'
A. Carlen / N. Naujoks ↕
P. van Aanholt
89'
⚽M. Zonneveld · ast. T. Lauritsen
90'+1
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
30.35%
Sparta
26.21%
X
43.45%
Excelsior ←
we assigned to the actual result (Excelsior) 43.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sparta
0.90
1.76
+0.86
Excelsior
1.43
0.95
-0.48
Sparta Rotterdam dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.95). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 5 10
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 5 8
8 Ajax Ajax 4 7
9 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5 7
10 Groningen Groningen 5 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
16 Willem II Willem II 5 2
17 Cambuur Cambuur 5 1
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 4-2-3-1
1 J. Drommel J. Drommel G 6.30
5 G. Vianello G. Vianello 1 ⚽ 71' D 6.20
4 Teo Quintero Teo Quintero D 6.50
3 M. Young M. Young D 6.90
2 Saïd Bakari Saïd Bakari 45' D 6.20
6 P. Clement P. Clement 45' M 6.60
8 J. Kitolano J. Kitolano 79' M 6.70
11 S. Mito S. Mito 71' M 6.60
10 V. van Crooij V. van Crooij M 6.30
7 A. Santos A. Santos 1 ⚽ M 7.70
9 Tobias Lauritsen Tobias Lauritsen 1 👟 F 7.20
Bench
17 C. Terho C. Terho F
20 F. Bednarek F. Bednarek G
16 J. Baas J. Baas 52' M 6.70
18 Jonathan de Guzmán Jonathan de Guzmán 26' M 6.90
21 J. Toornstra J. Toornstra 18' M 7.30
13 Justice Esser Justice Esser D
14 Max De Ligt Max De Ligt D
19 M. Zonneveld M. Zonneveld 1 ⚽ 52' F 7.20
15 Patrick van Aanholt Patrick van Aanholt 26' D 6.70
30 P. Kuiper P. Kuiper G
12 S. Sambo S. Sambo D
Excelsior Excelsior 4-3-3
1 S. van Gassel S. van Gassel G 6.90
12 A. Zagré A. Zagré 1 ⚽ D 7.30
14 L. Schouten L. Schouten D 6.20
4 C. Widell C. Widell D 6.20
3 R. Meissen R. Meissen 64' D 6.70
23 I. Yegoian I. Yegoian M 6.60
20 L. Hartjes L. Hartjes M 7.20
10 N. Naujoks N. Naujoks 1 ⚽ 86' M 7.30
11 G. de Regt G. de Regt 1 👟 F 6.60
29 Mike van Duinen Mike van Duinen 75' F 6.50
30 D. Sanches Fernandes D. Sanches Fernandes 86' F 6.60
Bench
6 A. Carlén A. Carlén 11' M 6.20
16 Calvin Raatsie Calvin Raatsie G
24 Giulliano Cairo Giulliano Cairo M
2 I. Bronkhorst I. Bronkhorst 33' D 6.50
33 Jerolldino Bergraaf Jerolldino Bergraaf 22' F 6.60
8 Mathijs Tielemans Mathijs Tielemans M
34 Noa el Hamdaoui Noa el Hamdaoui M
15 S. Janssen S. Janssen D
9 S. Włodarczyk S. Włodarczyk 11' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
A. Santos
A. Santos
M · Sparta
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
N. Naujoks
N. Naujoks
M · Excelsior
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
J. Toornstra
J. Toornstra
M · Sparta
7.30
· 4 pass
A. Zagré
A. Zagré
D · Excelsior
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 42 pass
L. Hartjes
L. Hartjes
M · Excelsior
7.20
3 shots · 35 pass
M. Zonneveld
M. Zonneveld
F · Sparta
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Drommel G 97 6.30 — — — 48 30% — — —
G. Vianello D 71 6.20 1 — — 42 34% 1 — —
Teo Quintero D 97 6.50 — — 1 68 62% 2 1 —
M. Young D 97 6.90 — — — 59 54% 1 — —
Saïd Bakari D 45 6.20 — — — 19 16% — — —
P. Clement M 45 6.60 — — — 22 21% 1 — —
J. Kitolano M 79 6.70 — — 1 18 15% 2 — —
S. Mito M 71 6.60 — — 2 28 23% — — —
V. van Crooij M 97 6.30 — — — 28 22% 1 1 —
A. Santos M 97 7.70 1 — 2 18 14% 1 — —
Tobias Lauritsen F 97 7.20 — 1 2 14 7% 1 — —
J. Baas M 52 6.70 — — 1 26 19% — 1 —
Jonathan de Guzmán M 26 6.90 — — — 11 8% 1 — —
J. Toornstra M 18 7.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
M. Zonneveld F 52 7.20 1 — 2 7 4% — — —
Patrick van Aanholt D 26 6.70 — — — 8 7% — 1 —
Excelsior Excelsior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. van Gassel G 97 6.90 — — — 44 25% — — —
A. Zagré D 97 7.30 1 — 2 42 38% 1 — —
L. Schouten D 97 6.20 — — — 32 30% — — —
C. Widell D 97 6.20 — — — 43 34% — — —
R. Meissen D 64 6.70 — — — 29 19% 1 — —
I. Yegoian M 97 6.60 — — 3 34 29% 3 — —
L. Hartjes M 97 7.20 — — 3 35 32% 3 — —
N. Naujoks M 86 7.30 1 — 1 35 29% 1 — —
G. de Regt F 97 6.60 — 1 1 27 20% 1 — —
Mike van Duinen F 75 6.50 — — — 18 12% — — —
D. Sanches Fernandes F 86 6.60 — — 3 28 22% — — —
A. Carlén M 11 6.20 — — — — — — — —
I. Bronkhorst D 33 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
Jerolldino Bergraaf F 22 6.60 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
S. Włodarczyk F 11 6.20 — — — 1 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior?
The final score was Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior.
What did the model predict before Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Sparta Rotterdam win, 26% to a draw, and 43% to an Excelsior win.