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Sparta Rotterdam - MSV Duisburg

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 13:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.17%
Win
Sparta Rotterdam
27.95%
Draw
32.88%
Win
MSV Duisburg
2.17
Expected xG
1.66

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.73%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 28%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 61%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 58%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sparta Rotterdam a 39% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 32% for MSV Duisburg. Expected goals are 2.2 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.7 for MSV Duisburg (total 3.8), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.73% probability.

Season Stats

Sparta Rotterdam
3W 1D 2L
MSV Duisburg
3W 1D 2L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.8
1.5
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
83%
67%
O 2.5
50%
67%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
17%
Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Sparta Rotterdam
1W 1D 0L · at home
MSV Duisburg
3W 1D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.8
0.5
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
60%
100%
Win or Draw
80%
50%
O 1.5
80%
0%
O 2.5
40%
0%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 5
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sparta Rotterdam MSV Duisburg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 3.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.7% 7.8% 6.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.7% 6.1% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

D Asteras Tripolis 1–1
L Zulte Waregem 3–2
L SV Meppen 3–2
W Telstar 1–0
W VOC 0–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
D Arminia Bielefeld 1–1
L Beerschot VA 2–4
W Bonner SC 1–4
W FC OSS 0–1
W NEC Nijmegen 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
Attack
52
Defence
63
Form
59
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
Attack
52
Defence
59
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs MSV Duisburg?
The model gives Sparta Rotterdam a 39% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 32% for an MSV Duisburg win.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Rotterdam vs MSV Duisburg?
Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 2.2, MSV Duisburg 1.7 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Sparta Rotterdam vs MSV Duisburg?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.73%.