Sparta Rotterdam - MSV Duisburg
Friendlies Clubs
August 01, 2026 13:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.17%
Win
Sparta Rotterdam
27.95%
Draw
32.88%
Win
MSV Duisburg
2.17
1.66
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.73%)
1X2 Result
1
39%
X
28%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
61%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
58%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sparta Rotterdam a 39% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 32% for MSV Duisburg. Expected goals are 2.2 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.7 for MSV Duisburg (total 3.8), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.73% probability.
Season Stats
3W
1D
2L
3W
1D
2L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.8
1.5
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
83%
67%
O 2.5
50%
67%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
1W
1D
0L
· at home
3W
1D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.8
0.5
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
60%
100%
Win or Draw
80%
50%
O 1.5
80%
0%
O 2.5
40%
0%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Sparta Rotterdam
MSV Duisburg →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack
52
Defence
63
Form
59
MSV Duisburg
Attack
52
Defence
59
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs MSV Duisburg?
The model gives Sparta Rotterdam a 39% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 32% for an MSV Duisburg win.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Rotterdam vs MSV Duisburg?
Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 2.2, MSV Duisburg 1.7 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Sparta Rotterdam vs MSV Duisburg?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.73%.