Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 30
April 11, 2026 20:45
45'
(ast. G. Til)
R. Pepi
80'
(ast. C. Driouech)
I. Saibari
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 51% win probability (draw 22%, Sparta Rotterdam 25%). The final result was Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 PSV Eindhoven. In 1 previous meetings, Sparta Rotterdam have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for PSV Eindhoven.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
5
1.16
Actual xG
1.94
3
Saves
4
38%
Possession
62%
2
Corners
5
16
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
3'
7'
Ryan Flamingo
Teo Quintero
21'
40'
Guus Til
45'
ast. G. Til ·
R. Pepi⚽
S. Mito
/ C. Terho
58'
60'
Noah Fernandez
M. Kleijn
/ G. Vianello
64'
65'
Paul Wanner
70'
C. Driouech
/
I. Perisic
70'
J. van den Berg
/
N. Fernandez
73'
Joel Van Den Berg
77'
Kiliann Sildillia
80'
ast. C. Driouech ·
I. Saibari⚽
S. Sambo
/ S. Bakari
81'
J. Baas
/ M. Zonneveld
81'
A. Santos
/ P. Clement
81'
81'
M. Boadu
/
I. Saibari
82'
E. Bajraktarevic
/
R. Pepi
87'
F. Merien
/
R. Flamingo
Pre-match prediction
25.61%
Sparta
22.48%
X
51.91%
PSV ←
we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven)
51.91%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
1.16
+0.0
1.93
1.94
+0.01
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (1.94 vs 1.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
5
M. Kleijn
64'
D
4
Teo Quintero
D
Teo Quintero
D
3
D
2
Shurandy Sambo
81'
D
Shurandy Sambo
81'
D
11
S. Mito
58'
M
S. Mito
58'
M
8
M
6
Julian Baas
81'
M
Julian Baas
81'
M
7
Ayoni Santos
81'
M
Ayoni Santos
81'
M
10
Vito van Crooij
F
Vito van Crooij
F
9
T. Lauritsen
F
T. Lauritsen
F
Bench
14
Bruno Martins Indi
D
Bruno Martins Indi
D
19
M. Zonneveld
14'
F
M. Zonneveld
14'
F
32
G
17
Mauro Júnior
D
Mauro Júnior
D
3
D
6
Ryan Flamingo
87'
D
Ryan Flamingo
87'
D
25
K. Sildillia
D
K. Sildillia
D
34
I. Saibari
1 ⚽
81'
M
I. Saibari
1 ⚽
81'
M
31
Noah Fernandez
70'
M
Noah Fernandez
70'
M
20
G. Til
1 👟
M
G. Til
1 👟
M
5
I. Perišić
70'
F
I. Perišić
70'
F
9
R. Pepi
1 ⚽
82'
F
R. Pepi
1 ⚽
82'
F
10
P. Wanner
F
P. Wanner
F
Bench
11
Couhaib Driouech
1 👟
25'
F
Couhaib Driouech
1 👟
25'
F
27
D. Man
F
D. Man
F
19
E. Bajraktarevic
13'
F
E. Bajraktarevic
13'
F
35
Joel Van Den Berg
25'
M
Joel Van Den Berg
25'
M
21
Myron Boadu
14'
F
Myron Boadu
14'
F
Best on the pitch
G · PSV
8.30
· 42 pass
Mauro Júnior
D · PSV
8.00
1 shots
· 79 pass
I. Saibari
M · PSV
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 39 pass
P. Wanner
F · PSV
7.30
1 shots
· 60 pass
Ryan Flamingo
D · PSV
7.30
· 55 pass
D · PSV
7.30
· 67 pass
Sparta Rotterdam — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| M. Kleijn | D | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Teo Quintero | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| Shurandy Sambo | D | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mito | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — | |
| Julian Baas | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Ayoni Santos | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Vito van Crooij | F | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Lauritsen | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Zonneveld | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | — | — | |
| Mauro Júnior | D | 95 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 72% | 6 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | 3 | — | — | |
| Ryan Flamingo | D | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Sildillia | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Saibari | M | 81 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Noah Fernandez | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Til | M | 95 | 6.00 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Perišić | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| R. Pepi | F | 82 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Wanner | F | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 58% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Couhaib Driouech | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Bajraktarevic | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Joel Van Den Berg | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Myron Boadu | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven?
The final score was Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 PSV Eindhoven.
What did the model predict before Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Sparta Rotterdam win, 22% to a draw, and 51% to an PSV Eindhoven win.