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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9 October 17, 2026 21:00 Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
#14 · 9 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Willem II
#18 · 2 pts
Jens Toornstra 39'
Lushendry Martes 50'
Milan Zonneveld (ast. Jens Toornstra) 57'
17' Tonny Vilhena
68' (ast. Vito van Crooy) Uriël van Aalst
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sparta Rotterdam a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Willem II 28%). The final result was Sparta Rotterdam 3–2 Willem II. In 1 previous meetings, Sparta Rotterdam have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Willem II.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
13
8
Shots on target
4
3.46
Actual xG
1.24
2
Saves
5
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
4
14
Tackles
20
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
17'
Tonny Vilhena⚽
⚽Jens Toornstra
39'
41'
Finn Stam
⚽Lushendry Martes
50'
⚽Milan Zonneveld · ast. Jens Toornstra
57'
Rogier Meijer
59'
66'
Thomas Verheydt / Anass Zarrouk ↕
66'
Mats Lemmens / Tonny Vilhena ↕
68'
ast. Vito van Crooy · Uriël van Aalst⚽
70'
Vito van Crooy
Lushendry Martes
70'
↕ Jens Toornstra / Alwande Benedict Roaldsøy
74'
75'
Thomas Verheydt
Alwande Benedict Roaldsøy
78'
81'
Jari Schuurman / Uriël van Aalst ↕
81'
Chido Obi / Jaden Slory ↕
↕ Cedric Hatenboer / Teo Quintero León
83'
↕ Robin van Cruijsen / Mitchell Van Bergen
83'
Milan Zonneveld
85'
Bas Kuipers
88'
88'
Eser Gürbüz / Maxim Dekker ↕
90'+3
Chido Obi
Pre-match prediction
42.57%
Sparta ←
29.38%
X
28.05%
Willem
we assigned to the actual result (Sparta Rotterdam) 42.57% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sparta
1.40
3.46
+2.06
Willem
0.92
1.24
+0.32
Sparta Rotterdam dominated by xG (3.46 vs 1.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5-4-1
1 M. Brouwer M. Brouwer G 6.03
5 B. Kuipers B. Kuipers D 6.13
4 B. Martins Indi B. Martins Indi D 6.57
6 N. Verschuren N. Verschuren D 6.71
3 M. Young M. Young D 6.51
2 L. Martes L. Martes 1 ⚽ D 6.88
11 I. Babadi I. Babadi M 7.03
10 Cedric Hatenboer Cedric Hatenboer 83' M 6.37
8 J. Toornstra J. Toornstra 1 ⚽ 1 👟 74' M 8.07
7 Robin van Cruijsen Robin van Cruijsen 83' M 7.01
9 M. Zonneveld M. Zonneveld 1 ⚽ F 7.93
Bench
18 A. Roaldsøy A. Roaldsøy 16' M 5.79
12 B. Reith B. Reith D 0.00
21 C. Terho C. Terho F 0.00
20 F. Bednarek F. Bednarek G 0.00
15 G. Vianello G. Vianello D 0.00
16 J. Baas J. Baas M 0.00
22 Joel Ideho Joel Ideho F 0.00
17 M. van Bergen M. van Bergen 7' F 6.65
30 P. Kuiper P. Kuiper G 0.00
14 Teo Quintero Teo Quintero 7' D 6.07
Willem II Willem II 4-2-3-1
26 Maxime Delanghe Maxime Delanghe G 6.67
24 Nathan Tjoe-A-On Nathan Tjoe-A-On D 6.40
23 M. Dekker M. Dekker 88' D 6.10
3 Finn Stam Finn Stam D 5.99
5 Hidde ter Avest Hidde ter Avest D 5.58
52 Tonny Vilhena Tonny Vilhena 1 ⚽ 66' M 7.24
18 Anass Zarrouk Anass Zarrouk 66' M 5.89
32 Vito van Crooij Vito van Crooij 1 👟 M 6.37
19 Uriel van Aalst Uriel van Aalst 1 ⚽ 81' M 7.15
7 Jaden Slory Jaden Slory 81' M 5.90
9 Devin Haen Devin Haen F 6.05
Bench
2 Alessandro Ciranni Alessandro Ciranni D 0.00
15 Amine Et-Taïbi Amine Et-Taïbi D 0.00
17 Chido Obi-Martin Chido Obi-Martin 9' F 6.11
50 Eser Gürbüz Eser Gürbüz 2' F 6.28
10 Jari Schuurman Jari Schuurman 9' M 5.81
14 Jens Mathijsen Jens Mathijsen D 0.00
31 Karst de Leeuw Karst de Leeuw G 0.00
8 Kasper Boogaard Kasper Boogaard M 0.00
44
L. Maal F
83 Mats Lemmens Mats Lemmens 24' D 5.81
22 Per van Loon Per van Loon M 0.00
28 Thomas Verheydt Thomas Verheydt 24' F 6.58
41 Tygo Kotte Tygo Kotte G 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Toornstra
J. Toornstra
M · Sparta
8.07
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 21 pass
M. Zonneveld
M. Zonneveld
F · Sparta
7.93
1 ⚽
5 shots · 19 pass
Tonny Vilhena
Tonny Vilhena
M · Willem
7.24
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
Uriel van Aalst
Uriel van Aalst
M · Willem
7.15
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
I. Babadi
I. Babadi
M · Sparta
7.03
1 shots · 40 pass
Robin van Cruijsen
Robin van Cruijsen
M · Sparta
7.01
3 shots · 23 pass
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Brouwer G 90 6.03 — — 0 46 24% 0 — —
B. Kuipers D 90 6.13 — — 1 32 24% 1 1 —
B. Martins Indi D 90 6.57 — — 0 49 43% 1 — —
N. Verschuren D 90 6.71 — — 1 28 27% 1 — —
M. Young D 90 6.51 — — 3 47 41% 4 — —
L. Martes D 90 6.88 1 — 3 37 27% 1 1 —
I. Babadi M 90 7.03 — — 1 40 36% 1 — —
Cedric Hatenboer M 83 6.37 — — 2 34 25% 2 — —
J. Toornstra M 74 8.07 1 1 1 21 16% 2 — —
Robin van Cruijsen M 83 7.01 — — 3 23 22% 0 — —
M. Zonneveld F 90 7.93 1 — 5 19 9% 1 1 —
A. Roaldsøy M 16 5.79 — — 1 4 4% 0 1 —
M. van Bergen F 7 6.65 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
Teo Quintero D 7 6.07 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Willem II Willem II — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Maxime Delanghe G 90 6.67 — — 0 39 23% 0 — —
Nathan Tjoe-A-On D 90 6.40 — — 1 36 29% 3 — —
M. Dekker D 88 6.10 — — 0 63 54% 1 — —
Finn Stam D 90 5.99 — — 1 60 47% 3 1 —
Hidde ter Avest D 90 5.58 — — 0 40 27% 5 — —
Tonny Vilhena M 66 7.24 1 — 2 34 26% 0 — —
Anass Zarrouk M 66 5.89 — — 0 25 20% 1 — —
Vito van Crooij M 90 6.37 — 1 2 28 19% 3 1 —
Uriel van Aalst M 81 7.15 1 — 3 18 16% 1 — —
Jaden Slory M 81 5.90 — — 2 17 13% 3 — —
Devin Haen F 90 6.05 — — 0 18 10% 0 — —
Chido Obi-Martin F 9 6.11 — — 0 1 1% 0 1 —
Eser Gürbüz F 2 6.28 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Jari Schuurman M 9 5.81 — — 1 2 2% 0 — —
Mats Lemmens D 24 5.81 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
Thomas Verheydt F 24 6.58 — — 1 8 4% 0 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
The final score was Sparta Rotterdam 3–2 Willem II.
What did the model predict before Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Sparta Rotterdam win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Willem II win.