Spartak Kostroma - Chelyabinsk
Cup
October 14, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.79%
Win
Spartak Kostroma
41.75%
Draw
15.45%
Win
Chelyabinsk
0.75
0.31
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(31.27%)
1X2 Result
1
43%
X
42%
2
15%
Double Chance
1X
85%
X2
57%
12
58%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
23%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Spartak Kostroma a 42% win probability, against 41% for a draw and 15% for Chelyabinsk. Expected goals are 0.8 for Spartak Kostroma and 0.3 for Chelyabinsk (total 1.1), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 31.27% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Spartak Kostroma have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Chelyabinsk.
Season Stats
1W
1D
0L
2W
2D
0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.2
0.0
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
25%
0%
BTTS
25%
100%
Clean Sht
75%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Spartak Kostroma
Chelyabinsk →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 34.7% | 10.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 1 | 26.1% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 2 | 9.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% | — | — | — |
| 3 | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Spartak Kostroma
Attack
31
Defence
86
Form
67
Chelyabinsk
Attack
26
Defence
59
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk?
The model gives Spartak Kostroma a 42% win probability, 41% for a draw, and 15% for an Chelyabinsk win.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk?
Expected goals: Spartak Kostroma 0.8, Chelyabinsk 0.3 (total 1.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 31.27%.