Spartak Moscow 3–1 Akhmat — pre-match prediction — Premier League — April 19, 2026

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Premier League · Regular Season - 25 April 19, 2026 16:00

Spartak Moscow

#5 · 23 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Akhmat

#14 · 11 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Spartak Moscow

E. Barco (ast. Marquinhos) 21'

Marquinhos (ast. P. Solari) 28'

G. Fernandes (ast. Marquinhos) 39'

41' (ast. E. Cacintura) M. Samorodov

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spartak Moscow a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Akhmat 18%). The final result was Spartak Moscow 3–1 Akhmat. In 2 previous meetings, Spartak Moscow have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Akhmat.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

68%

Possession

32%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽E. Barco · ast. Marquinhos

21'

⚽Marquinhos · ast. P. Solari

28'

⚽G. Fernandes · ast. Marquinhos

39'

41'

ast. E. Cacintura · M. Samorodov⚽

46'

G. Kenzhebek / B. Mansilla ↕

46'

P. Gadio / S. Pryakhin ↕

C. Wooh

53'

58'

64'

M. Konate / G. Melkadze ↕

↕ C. Wooh / R. Zobnin

64'

↕ Marquinhos / C. Martins

72'

86'

O. Ndong / M. Zare ↕

86'

D. Khlusevich / M. Sidorov ↕

↕ D. Denisov / I. Dmitriev

90'+1

↕ M. Ugalde / A. Zabolotnyi

90'

↕ P. Solari / N. Massalyga

90'

Pre-match prediction

60.3%

Spartak ←

21.54%

18.16%

Akhmat

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Spartak Moscow) 60.3% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Spartak

1.95

—

Akhmat

0.92

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Zenit	12	27
2	Dynamo	12	25
3	CSKA Moscow	12	25
4	FC Krasnodar	12	23
5	Spartak Moscow	12	23
6	FC Orenburg	12	16
7	FC Rostov	12	15
8	Krylia Sovetov	12	15
9	Baltika	12	14
10	Dinamo Makhachkala	12	13
11	Rubin	12	12
12	Akron	12	12
13	Lokomotiv	12	11
14	Akhmat	12	11
15	Rodina Moskva	12	9
16	Fakel	12	6

Lineups

Spartak Moscow 4-2-3-1

G 6.90

Gedson Fernandes 1 ⚽ D 7.90

A. Djiku D 6.90

C. Wooh 64' D 6.90

D. Denisov D 6.20

R. Litvinov M 7.20

M 6.90

Marquinhos 1 ⚽ 2 👟 72' M 9.30

E. Barco 1 ⚽ M 9.30

P. Solari 1 👟 M 7.50

M. Ugalde F 7.20

Bench

C. Martins 23' M 6.30

I. Dmitriev 4' M

L. García F

R. Zobnin 31' M 7.20

Akhmat 4-2-3-1

V. Ulyanov G 6.00

M. Bogosavac D 6.90

D 6.20

Mehdi Zare 86' D 6.30

M. Sidorov 86' D 5.70

Egas Cacintura 1 👟 M 7.00

S. Pryakhin 45' M 6.20

M. Samorodov 1 ⚽ M 8.20

M 6.50

B. Mansilla 45' M 6.20

G. Melkadze 64' F 6.20

Bench

D. Khlusevich 9' D 6.50

G. Kenzhebek 50' M 6.20

O. Ndong 9' D 6.30

P. Gadio 50' M 6.30

T. Ibishev D

Best on the pitch

E. Barco

M · Spartak

9.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 69 pass

Marquinhos

M · Spartak

9.30

1 ⚽ 2 👟

1 shots · 34 pass

M. Samorodov

M · Akhmat

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 19 pass

Gedson Fernandes

D · Spartak

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 61 pass

P. Solari

M · Spartak

7.50

1 👟

3 shots · 29 pass

R. Litvinov

M · Spartak

7.20

· 71 pass

Spartak Moscow — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	95	6.90	—	—	—	28	22%	—	—	—
Gedson Fernandes	D	95	7.90	1	—	1	61	56%	1	—	—
A. Djiku	D	95	6.90	—	—	—	60	54%	1	—	—
C. Wooh	D	64	6.90	—	—	—	37	34%	3	1	—
D. Denisov	D	91	6.20	—	—	—	32	25%	3	—	—
R. Litvinov	M	95	7.20	—	—	—	71	57%	1	—	—
	M	95	6.90	—	—	1	44	36%	2	—	—
Marquinhos	M	72	9.30	1	2	1	34	30%	1	—	—
E. Barco	M	95	9.30	1	—	1	69	63%	—	—	—
P. Solari	M	90	7.50	—	1	3	29	24%	3	—	—
M. Ugalde	F	90	7.20	—	—	1	26	19%	2	—	—
C. Martins	M	23	6.30	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—
I. Dmitriev	M	4	—	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
R. Zobnin	M	31	7.20	—	—	—	10	9%	1	—	—

Akhmat — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
V. Ulyanov	G	95	6.00	—	—	—	31	19%	—	—	—
M. Bogosavac	D	95	6.90	—	—	—	30	23%	2	—	—
	D	95	6.20	—	—	—	26	21%	—	—	—
Mehdi Zare	D	86	6.30	—	—	—	21	15%	2	—	—
M. Sidorov	D	86	5.70	—	—	—	17	11%	1	1	—
Egas Cacintura	M	95	7.00	—	1	1	24	16%	4	—	—
S. Pryakhin	M	45	6.20	—	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—
M. Samorodov	M	95	8.20	1	—	1	19	15%	2	—	—
	M	95	6.50	—	—	—	24	18%	—	—	—
B. Mansilla	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	6	4%	2	—	—
G. Melkadze	F	64	6.20	—	—	1	16	12%	1	—	—
D. Khlusevich	D	9	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
G. Kenzhebek	M	50	6.20	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
O. Ndong	D	9	6.30	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
P. Gadio	M	50	6.30	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?

The final score was Spartak Moscow 3–1 Akhmat.

What did the model predict before Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat?

The model assigned 60% probability to a Spartak Moscow win, 21% to a draw, and 18% to an Akhmat win.