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Spartak Moscow - FC Orenburg

Cup August 05, 2026 17:30
Spartak Moscow
vs
FC Orenburg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.04%
Win
Spartak Moscow
31.64%
Draw
24.32%
Win
FC Orenburg
1.54
Expected xG
0.8

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (14.68%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 32%
2 24%
Double Chance
1X 76%
X2 56%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 65%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Spartak Moscow a 44% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 24% for FC Orenburg. Expected goals are 1.5 for Spartak Moscow and 0.8 for FC Orenburg (total 2.3), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 14.68% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Spartak Moscow have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Orenburg.

Season Stats

Spartak Moscow
8W 3D 2L
FC Orenburg
2W 1D 6L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
0.8
1.1
Conceded
2.6
Percentages
77%
O 1.5
78%
54%
O 2.5
56%
62%
BTTS
33%
38%
Clean Sht
22%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
29%
BTTS
Spartak Moscow
4W 2D 1L · at home
FC Orenburg
1W 0D 4L · away
1.7
gls/g
0.2
0.7
Conceded
2.8
57%
Win %
20%
86%
Win or Draw
20%
71%
O 1.5
80%
43%
O 2.5
40%
29%
O 3.5
40%
57%
BTTS
0%
43%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
80%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Spartak Moscow FC Orenburg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 14.8% 11.9% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% —
2 11.4% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% —
3 5.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% — —
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
D FC Krasnodar 1–1
W CSKA Moscow 1–0
D Zenit 0–0
W Dynamo 1–0
L Dynamo 5–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
L Krylia Sovetov 2–0
L FC Krasnodar 4–0
L FC Krasnodar 1–3
L Zenit 6–0
W Akhmat 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
Attack
34
Defence
78
Form
57
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
Attack
31
Defence
63
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Spartak Moscow
0
Draw
0
FC Orenburg
22 Mar 2026 Premier League 2–0
25 Oct 2025 Premier League 1–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
The model gives Spartak Moscow a 44% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 24% for an FC Orenburg win.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
Expected goals: Spartak Moscow 1.5, FC Orenburg 0.8 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.68%.