Spartak Moscow - Krylia Sovetov
Friendlies Clubs
July 04, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.7%
Win
Spartak Moscow
28.75%
Draw
28.55%
Win
Krylia Sovetov
2.32
1.26
Expected xG
Most likely result
2–1
(9.5%)
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
69%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Spartak Moscow a 42% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Krylia Sovetov. Expected goals are 2.3 for Spartak Moscow and 1.3 for Krylia Sovetov (total 3.6), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.5% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Spartak Moscow have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Krylia Sovetov.
Season Stats
4W
1D
0L
4W
0D
2L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
2.2
0.8
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
40%
O 2.5
67%
60%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
90%
O 1.5
70%
O 2.5
60%
O 3.5
80%
BTTS
4W
1D
0L
· at home
2W
0D
0L
· away
2.2
gls/g
4.0
0.8
Conceded
2.5
80%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
80%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
100%
20%
O 3.5
100%
60%
BTTS
100%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Spartak Moscow
Krylia Sovetov →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Spartak Moscow
Attack
51
Defence
79
Form
73
Krylia Sovetov
Attack
50
Defence
66
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?
The model gives Spartak Moscow a 42% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 28% for an Krylia Sovetov win.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?
Expected goals: Spartak Moscow 2.3, Krylia Sovetov 1.3 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Spartak Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.5%.