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Spartak Moscow - Rodina Moskva

Cup September 02, 2026 19:45
Spartak Moscow
vs
Rodina Moskva
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.1%
Win
Spartak Moscow
28.76%
Draw
27.14%
Win
Rodina Moskva
2.3
Expected xG
1.19

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.74%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 29%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 56%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 64%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Spartak Moscow a 44% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Rodina Moskva. Expected goals are 2.3 for Spartak Moscow and 1.2 for Rodina Moskva (total 3.5), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.74% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Spartak Moscow have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Rodina Moskva.

Season Stats

Spartak Moscow
9W 3D 2L
Rodina Moskva
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
2.7
1.1
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
79%
O 1.5
67%
57%
O 2.5
67%
64%
BTTS
0%
36%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ Based on the last 14 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
19%
O 3.5
32%
BTTS
Spartak Moscow
5W 2D 1L · at home
Rodina Moskva
1W 0D 0L · away
2.1
gls/g
3.0
0.8
Conceded
0.0
63%
Win %
100%
88%
Win or Draw
100%
75%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
38%
O 3.5
0%
63%
BTTS
0%
38%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Spartak Moscow Rodina Moskva →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.0% 8.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.0% 9.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.2% 7.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% —

Recent form

Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
W FC Orenburg 5–1
D FC Krasnodar 1–1
W CSKA Moscow 1–0
D Zenit 0–0
W Dynamo 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
W Rubin 5–0
D Chelyabinsk 0–0
W Ska-khabarovsk 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
Attack
47
Defence
75
Form
69
Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
Attack
45
Defence
55
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Spartak Moscow
0
Draw
0
Rodina Moskva
25 Jul 2026 Premier League 3–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
The model gives Spartak Moscow a 44% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 27% for an Rodina Moskva win.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
Expected goals: Spartak Moscow 2.3, Rodina Moskva 1.2 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.74%.