Spartak Moscow 2–1 Rubin — pre-match prediction — Premier League — May 11, 2026

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Premier League · Regular Season - 29 May 11, 2026 16:30

Spartak Moscow

#5 · 23 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Rubin

#11 · 12 pts

C. Wooh (ast. M. Ugalde) 4'

P. Solari (ast. M. Ugalde) 60'

90'+3 (ast. B. Jocic) A. Jukic

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spartak Moscow a 46% win probability (draw 33%, Rubin 19%). The final result was Spartak Moscow 2–1 Rubin. In 5 previous meetings, Spartak Moscow have won 3 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Rubin.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

66%

Possession

34%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽C. Wooh · ast. M. Ugalde

21'

D. Kabutov / A. Arroyo ↕

34'

D. Maldonado

46'

N. Lobov / D. Maldonado ↕

Marquinhos

53'

⚽P. Solari · ast. M. Ugalde

60'

63'

I. Saavedra

65'

B. Jocic / I. Saavedra ↕

65'

A. Jukic / N. Gripshi ↕

↕ P. Solari / G. Fernandes

65'

↕ Marquinhos / I. Dmitriev

75'

↕ R. Litvinov / C. Martins

75'

79'

J. Siwe / R. Bezrukov ↕

M. Ugalde

84'

I. Vujacic

85'

B. Jocic

↕ R. Zobnin / N. Massalyga

87'

↕ M. Ugalde / L. Garcia

87'

90'+1

V. Hodza

90'+3

ast. B. Jocic · A. Jukic⚽

Pre-match prediction

46.63%

Spartak ←

33.86%

19.51%

Rubin

we assigned to the actual result (Spartak Moscow) 46.63% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Spartak

0.90

—

Rubin

0.49

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Zenit	12	27
2	Dynamo	12	25
3	CSKA Moscow	12	25
4	FC Krasnodar	12	23
5	Spartak Moscow	12	23
6	FC Orenburg	12	16
7	FC Rostov	12	15
8	Krylia Sovetov	12	15
9	Baltika	12	14
10	Dinamo Makhachkala	12	13
11	Rubin	12	12
12	Akron	12	12
13	Lokomotiv	12	11
14	Akhmat	12	11
15	Rodina Moskva	12	9
16	Fakel	12	6

Lineups

Spartak Moscow 4-2-3-1

A. Maksimenko G 6.90

R. Zobnin 87' D 7.70

A. Djiku D 6.90

C. Wooh 1 ⚽ D 8.00

D. Denisov D 6.30

N. Umyarov M 6.60

R. Litvinov 75' M 6.90

Marquinhos 75' M 7.20

E. Barco M 8.00

P. Solari 1 ⚽ 65' M 8.20

M. Ugalde 2 👟 87' F 7.20

Bench

A. Dovbnya G

A. Zabolotny F

C. Martins 15' M 6.60

Daniil Zorin M

Gedson Fernandes 25' M 6.30

I. Dmitriev 15' M 6.90

I. Pomazun G

I. Samoshnikov D

L. García 8' F 6.20

Nikita Massalyga 8' M 6.30

Oleg Reabciuk D

V. Saus M

Rubin 3-4-3

E. Staver G 6.60

E. Teslenko D 6.70

I. Vujačić D 7.20

D. Maldonado 45' D 6.50

K. Nizhegorodov M 7.30

I. Saavedra 65' M 6.30

V. Hodža M 6.50

A. Arroyo 21' M 6.30

R. Bezrukov 79' F 6.20

M. Daku F 6.70

N. Gripshi 65' F 6.90

Bench

A. Gritsaenko D

A. Jukić 1 ⚽ 25' M 7.30

Aleksandr Zotov M

Alexey Keniaykin G

A. Nigmatullin G

B. Jočić 1 👟 25' M 6.60

D. Kabutov 69' D 6.90

D. Kuznetsov M

D. Kuzyaev M

J. Siwe 11' F 6.50

N. Lobov 45' D 6.30

O. Ivanov M

Best on the pitch

P. Solari

M · Spartak

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 34 pass

C. Wooh

D · Spartak

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 59 pass

E. Barco

M · Spartak

8.00

1 shots · 70 pass

R. Zobnin

D · Spartak

7.70

· 68 pass

A. Jukić

M · Rubin

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

K. Nizhegorodov

M · Rubin

7.30

· 38 pass

Spartak Moscow — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Maksimenko	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	32	28%	—	—	—
R. Zobnin	D	87	7.70	—	—	—	68	62%	—	—	—
A. Djiku	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	59	54%	—	—	—
C. Wooh	D	90	8.00	1	—	2	59	52%	2	—	—
D. Denisov	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	48	37%	1	—	—
N. Umyarov	M	90	6.60	—	—	1	71	61%	1	—	—
R. Litvinov	M	75	6.90	—	—	—	83	75%	—	—	—
Marquinhos	M	75	7.20	—	—	3	40	34%	—	1	—
E. Barco	M	90	8.00	—	—	1	70	63%	1	—	—
P. Solari	M	65	8.20	1	—	2	34	26%	1	—	—
M. Ugalde	F	87	7.20	—	2	2	22	15%	2	1	—
C. Martins	M	15	6.60	—	—	1	6	4%	—	—	—
Gedson Fernandes	M	25	6.30	—	—	—	13	12%	1	—	—
I. Dmitriev	M	15	6.90	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—
L. García	F	8	6.20	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
Nikita Massalyga	M	8	6.30	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Rubin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Staver	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	22	12%	—	—	—
E. Teslenko	D	90	6.70	—	—	2	32	23%	—	—	—
I. Vujačić	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	31	27%	1	1	—
D. Maldonado	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	15	15%	—	1	—
K. Nizhegorodov	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	38	28%	4	—	—
I. Saavedra	M	65	6.30	—	—	—	19	14%	1	1	—
V. Hodža	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	32	23%	3	1	—
A. Arroyo	M	21	6.30	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
R. Bezrukov	F	79	6.20	—	—	1	24	22%	—	—	—
M. Daku	F	90	6.70	—	—	—	20	10%	1	—	—
N. Gripshi	F	65	6.90	—	—	—	20	18%	—	—	—
A. Jukić	M	25	7.30	1	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
B. Jočić	M	25	6.60	—	1	—	7	4%	—	1	—
D. Kabutov	D	69	6.90	—	—	—	25	17%	3	—	—
J. Siwe	F	11	6.50	—	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
N. Lobov	D	45	6.30	—	—	—	18	13%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?

The final score was Spartak Moscow 2–1 Rubin.

What did the model predict before Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?

The model assigned 46% probability to a Spartak Moscow win, 33% to a draw, and 19% to an Rubin win.