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Premier League · Regular Season - 11 October 18, 2026 17:45 Lukoil Arena, Moscow
Spartak Moscow
#5 · 23 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Rubin
#11 · 12 pts
Pablo Solari 18'
Manfred Ugalde (ast. Ruslan Litvinov) 43'
Mirlind Daku (ast. Pablo Solari) 65'
Mirlind Daku 90'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spartak Moscow a 39% win probability (draw 35%, Rubin 24%). The final result was Spartak Moscow 4–0 Rubin. In 4 previous meetings, Spartak Moscow have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Rubin.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
9
10
Shots on target
1
3.39
Actual xG
0.32
1
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
8
Corners
1
11
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
Jakhongir Urozov
Manfred Ugalde
5'
⚽Pablo Solari
18'
Victor Parada
36'
⚽Manfred Ugalde · ast. Ruslan Litvinov
43'
45'
Nazmi Gripshi / Ulvi Babaev ↕
↕ Victor Parada / Igor Dmitriev
63'
↕ Marquinhos / Daniil Denisov
63'
↕ Manfred Ugalde / Mirlind Daku
64'
⚽Mirlind Daku · ast. Pablo Solari
65'
69'
Egor Teslenko / Jakhongir Urozov ↕
69'
Ignacio Saavedra / Veldin Hodza ↕
69'
Ruslan Bezrukov / Jacques Siwe ↕
↕ Pablo Solari / Nikita Massalyga
74'
79'
Daniil Motorin / Eddie Salcedo ↕
↕ Esequiel Barco / Ivan Sorokin
83'
Ivan Sorokin
86'
⚽Mirlind Daku
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.43%
Spartak ←
35.61%
X
24.96%
Rubin
we assigned to the actual result (Spartak Moscow) 39.43% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Spartak
0.76
3.39
+2.63
Rubin
0.53
0.32
-0.21
Spartak Moscow dominated by xG (3.39 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zenit Zenit 12 27
2 Dynamo Dynamo 12 25
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 12 25
4 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 12 23
5 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 12 23
6 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 12 16
7 FC Rostov FC Rostov 12 15
8 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 12 15
9 Baltika Baltika 12 14
10 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 12 13
11 Rubin Rubin 12 12
12 Akron Akron 12 12
13 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 12 11
14 Akhmat Akhmat 12 11
15 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 12 9
16 Fakel Fakel 12 6
Lineups
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 4-1-4-1
1 I. Pomazun I. Pomazun G 6.78
33 Víctor Parada Víctor Parada 63' D 6.01
6 S. Babić S. Babić D 7.45
68 R. Litvinov R. Litvinov 1 👟 D 8.11
47 R. Zobnin R. Zobnin D 7.33
18 N. Umyarov N. Umyarov M 6.75
10 Marquinhos Marquinhos 63' M 7.05
5 E. Barco E. Barco 83' M 7.20
25 D. Prutsev D. Prutsev M 7.19
7 P. Solari P. Solari 1 ⚽ 1 👟 74' M 9.00
9 M. Ugalde M. Ugalde 1 ⚽ 64' F 8.41
Bench
4 A. Djiku A. Djiku D 0.00
56 A. Dovbnya A. Dovbnya G 0.00
3 C. Wooh C. Wooh D 0.00
97 D. Denisov D. Denisov 27' D 7.00
27 I. Dmitriev I. Dmitriev 27' M 6.86
40 I. Sorokin I. Sorokin 7' M 6.62
19 M. Daku M. Daku 2 ⚽ 26' F 8.05
24 Nikita Massalyga Nikita Massalyga 16' M 7.11
62 P. Polekh P. Polekh F 0.00
17 V. Saus V. Saus M 0.00
Rubin Rubin 5-4-1
38 E. Staver E. Staver G 6.67
51 I. Rozhkov I. Rozhkov D 6.06
13 J. Urozov J. Urozov 69' D 5.47
5 I. Vujačić I. Vujačić D 6.06
98 N. Lobov N. Lobov D 5.37
12 A. Arroyo A. Arroyo D 5.86
7 U. Babaev U. Babaev 45' M 5.80
6 U. Iwu U. Iwu M 5.99
10 E. Salcedo E. Salcedo 79' M 6.30
22 V. Hodža V. Hodža 69' M 6.18
43 J. Siwe J. Siwe 69' F 6.49
Bench
27 A. Gritsaenko A. Gritsaenko D 0.00
25 A. Nigmatullin A. Nigmatullin G 0.00
8 B. Jočić B. Jočić M 0.00
44 D. Kuznetsov D. Kuznetsov M 0.00
59 D. N. Motorin D. N. Motorin 11' F 6.31
2 E. Teslenko E. Teslenko 21' D 5.69
14 I. Saavedra I. Saavedra 21' M 6.15
18 M. Ignatjev M. Ignatjev D 0.00
11 N. Gripshi N. Gripshi 45' M 5.91
86 N. Korets N. Korets G 0.00
23 R. Bezrukov R. Bezrukov 21' D 5.58
Best on the pitch
P. Solari
P. Solari
M · Spartak
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots · 26 pass
M. Ugalde
M. Ugalde
F · Spartak
8.41
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
R. Litvinov
R. Litvinov
D · Spartak
8.11
1 👟
1 shots · 76 pass
M. Daku
M. Daku
F · Spartak
8.05
2 ⚽
4 shots · 8 pass
S. Babić
S. Babić
D · Spartak
7.45
· 59 pass
R. Zobnin
R. Zobnin
D · Spartak
7.33
1 shots · 60 pass
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Pomazun G 90 6.78 — — 0 21 19% 0 — —
Víctor Parada D 63 6.01 — — 2 40 26% 0 1 —
S. Babić D 90 7.45 — — 0 59 55% 2 — —
R. Litvinov D 90 8.11 — 1 1 76 67% 0 — —
R. Zobnin D 90 7.33 — — 1 60 49% 1 — —
N. Umyarov M 90 6.75 — — 1 51 45% 1 — —
Marquinhos M 63 7.05 — — 1 37 32% 1 — —
E. Barco M 83 7.20 — — 4 58 52% 2 — —
D. Prutsev M 90 7.19 — — 0 74 64% 3 — —
P. Solari M 74 9.00 1 1 6 26 22% 1 — —
M. Ugalde F 64 8.41 1 — 1 21 15% 0 1 —
D. Denisov D 27 7.00 — — 0 13 10% 0 — —
I. Dmitriev M 27 6.86 — — 0 16 14% 0 — —
I. Sorokin M 7 6.62 — — 1 3 1% 0 1 —
M. Daku F 26 8.05 2 — 4 8 6% 0 — —
Nikita Massalyga M 16 7.11 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
Rubin Rubin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Staver G 90 6.67 — — 0 23 12% 0 — —
I. Rozhkov D 90 6.06 — — 0 22 17% 2 — —
J. Urozov D 69 5.47 — — 0 15 13% 1 1 —
I. Vujačić D 90 6.06 — — 0 33 27% 0 — —
N. Lobov D 90 5.37 — — 1 38 23% 2 — —
A. Arroyo D 90 5.86 — — 0 28 22% 1 — —
U. Babaev M 45 5.80 — — 2 11 8% 0 — —
U. Iwu M 90 5.99 — — 2 29 22% 0 — —
E. Salcedo M 79 6.30 — — 0 15 13% 0 — —
V. Hodža M 69 6.18 — — 1 19 14% 2 — —
J. Siwe F 69 6.49 — — 0 12 9% 0 — —
D. N. Motorin F 11 6.31 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
E. Teslenko D 21 5.69 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
I. Saavedra M 21 6.15 — — 1 10 8% 1 — —
N. Gripshi M 45 5.91 — — 1 20 12% 1 — —
R. Bezrukov D 21 5.58 — — 1 5 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
The final score was Spartak Moscow 4–0 Rubin.
What did the model predict before Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Spartak Moscow win, 35% to a draw, and 24% to an Rubin win.